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Lia Holmgren highlights long-term trends in the S&P500 based on historical performance. Since 1938, the S&P500 has ended higher in roughly 95 percent of the periods covering the following 12 months, with an average gain of 14 percent.
Additionally, Holmgren points out that the November-through-June window has produced positive returns in every cycle since 1942.
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Holmgren has previously observed strength in specific equities, noting SPCX remains strong above $150 and could reach $200 in the fall, according to a prior report. She has also developed an automated trading agent for NBIS trades on Public, aimed at monitoring market activity while away, as detailed in a previous article. These insights add context to her analysis of long-term index trends.