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Craig Shapiro: AI credit strains emerge as bonds and Treasuries fail to hedge

Craig Shapiro: AI credit strains emerge as bonds and Treasuries fail to hedge
AI credit pressure with bonds lagging

Credit markets linked to artificial intelligence are experiencing pressure, with AMZN credit default swap spreads rising by 5 basis points and by 8.5 basis points over two days, while spreads for hyperscaler companies increased 7 basis points. The correlation between these spreads is up 35%, and VVIX stands at 108 as demand for tail hedges grows. The two-year yield climbed during the day.

Craig Shapiro stated that persistent inflation is making a potential Federal Reserve intervention less likely and that Treasuries are not working effectively as a hedge.

Shapiro has previously highlighted synthetic negative gamma risks caused by SOXL rebalancing. He also commented on Brent crude reaching $105 following Pentagon strike plans, noting additional bond and AI credit risks in that period here. These observations reflect continued market strain around AI and credit-linked assets.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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