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StoneX Group addresses the impact of the return of New World Screwworm on cattle markets.
ArlanFF101, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX Group, focuses on livestock movement, market reaction, and what producers should monitor. Details are available at the provided link.
SNEX is currently trading at $114.52, sitting just above the MA-20 ($113.55), well clear of both the MA-50 ($102.60) and MA-200 ($76.68), reinforcing a bullish structure in medium- and long-term trends while the short-term outlook is neutral to slightly positive. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 sits at $113.74, just below the current price, establishing immediate support; nearby levels show near-term support at $113.74 (Kijun) and key support at $102.60 (MA-50), with resistance at $120.00 (MA-100) and $130.00 (MA-200), though only those within 30% of the current price are actionable.
MACD on D1 signals strong bullish momentum, while ADX (30.82) also supports upward directional strength. Despite this, RSI (49.34), CCI (-114.81), Stoch RSI (12.72), and BBP (-1.75) all flag oversold or sell conditions, highlighting a clear divergence between trend-following and oscillator signals—with BBP indicating sellers currently dominate intraday sentiment. In today's session, SNEX rose sharply by 5.00% (up $5.45), breaking out toward the upper part of its weekly range. Over the past week, SNEX has climbed $1.17 (0.91%) from a previous close of $113.35, currently positioned in the upper part of its weekly range with weekly volatility at 11.40%. This reflects strong recovery from earlier lows within a wider upwardly volatile context.
For the coming week, the expected trading range is $109.00 to $126.00, which keeps SNEX comfortably above its 52-week low ($53.53) and within sight of its annual high ($125.38). The probability of further price increases is very high (more than 80%) based on the alignment of all major W1 trend indicators pointing to 'Buy', making a decline much less likely. Baseline scenario: SNEX consolidates in a sideways band between immediate support ($113.74) and resistance ($120.00). Bullish scenario: a breakout above $120.00 could see acceleration toward the upper boundary near $126.00. Bearish scenario: a drop below $113.74 might test $109.00, but broader trends continue to support an upward bias.
Previously it was reported that StoneX Group exhibited a robust bullish structure supported by positive momentum signals and a dominant buyer presence. This article adds to that perspective by evaluating how the latest developments may influence the prevailing scenario, with traders advised to monitor for shifts near key support zones that could signal a change in trend.