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StoneX Group says grain and oilseed markets may be nearing a critical turning point ahead of the June WASDE report.
Chief Commodities Economist ArlanFF101 at StoneX previews the report and raises the question of whether buyers are stepping in as funds pause their selling. StoneX Group directs viewers to a video for further insights.
SNEX is trading at $125.27, well above its MA-20 at $113.47, MA-50 at $105.86, and MA-200 at $77.75. This highlights strong bullish momentum in the short, medium, and long term. The Ichimoku Kijun on D1 sits at $114.74, acting as immediate support. Near-term support is found at the Kijun/D1 ($114.74), while key support is at MA-50 ($105.86). Near-term resistance is now just above the current price at the recent 52-week high ($125.38), with key resistance at higher untested levels beyond the provided data.
Momentum indicators on D1 such as MACD and ADX signal firm bullish control, while RSI at 66.36 points to strong but not yet overextended upward movement. However, CCI and Stoch RSI both flag overbought conditions, suggesting the rally is heated, which is supported by BBP showing decisive buyer dominance. AO on D1 also supports the ongoing uptrend. SNEX has risen $9.73 (8.59%) over the past week—trading at $125.27, up from $115.54 a week ago. The price is at the very top of the weekly range, and weekly volatility stands at 13.54%. The week has been marked by persistent gains pushing up against recent highs.
For the coming week, the expected trading range is $120.00 to $130.00, reflecting strong short-term positive bias but normalized to fit within 8% of the current price. Given simultaneous buy signals from MA-50, RSI, ADX, and MACD on W1, there is a very high probability (more than 80%) of further upside, with the likelihood of decline being very low. The baseline scenario is for sideways consolidation between $120.00 and $130.00. A bullish scenario would see a breakout above $130.00, opening the door toward further record highs. A bearish scenario involves a retracement below $120.00, targeting near-term support at the Kijun ($114.74). This forecast range positions SNEX near its all-time peak and shows remarkable strength relative to its 52-week low of $53.53 and high of $125.38.
Earlier, analysts noted that StoneX Group was exhibiting sustained bullish momentum with technical support levels providing a favorable backdrop. This article provides an updated perspective, encouraging investors to monitor current support and resistance levels closely as the stock navigates new developments in market sentiment.