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StoneX Group reports that China is buying U.S. soybeans again while continuing to skip corn purchases.
Mike Castle, Senior Commodities Economist at StoneX Group, provides an analysis of the reasons behind this trend. Further details are available via the provided link.
SNEX is trading sharply below its MA-20 ($123.05), MA-50 ($119.74), and MA-200 ($85.49), highlighting heavy short- and medium-term bearish momentum and significant selling pressure. With the current price well under the Ichimoku Kijun level at $122.45, this Kijun now acts as immediate resistance. Near-term support is found at MA-200 ($85.49), with key support at $53.53 (52-week low). Immediate resistance is defined by the MA-100 ($103.69) and Kijun ($122.45), while MA-20 and MA-50 cluster as additional resistance just above.
Momentum indicators on D1 are firmly bearish: MACD and ADX both signal sell. The RSI (33.25), Stoch RSI (0.00), and CCI (–153.32) point to oversold conditions. BBP at –7.27 confirms that sellers are firmly in control intraday. The Awesome Oscillator stands negative, further supporting this downtrend. SNEX has plummeted $32.49 (31.64%) since last week’s close of $102.99, putting the current price at the very bottom of the weekly range. Weekly volatility stands at 12.68%. This week has seen a steady decline from recent highs, confirmed by the alignment of bearish momentum and dominant seller signals across oscillators. In today's session, the stock is down 31.55%.
In the coming week, we expect SNEX to trade between $68.00 and $77.00, which keeps the price within 10% of current levels and well above the 52-week low ($53.53) but far from the annual high ($141.99). Based on strong buy signals from MACD W1, RSI W1, ADX W1, and MA-50 W1, there is a very high probability (more than 80%) that price increases will be more likely, while the chance of further declines is very low. The baseline scenario sees SNEX consolidating in this lower range. For a bullish scenario, a sustained move above MA-200 ($85.49) could trigger short covering and open the path toward MA-100 resistance ($103.69). In the bearish case, a breakdown below $68.00 may test the $53.53 support area, risking further downside if sellers remain dominant.
Earlier, analysts noted that despite some short-term volatility, StoneX Group maintained a constructive medium- to long-term outlook. This article adds a fresh perspective to that assessment, and investors should now focus on whether StoneX can establish sustained momentum above its most recent support levels as an indicator for potential upside.