FLEX and 0DTE trends drive short-term gains in Cboe Global Markets stock

FLEX and 0DTE trends drive short-term gains in Cboe Global Markets stock
Cboe Global Markets down 1.37% today

Cboe Global Markets released its Q2 State of the Options Industry report examining key trends in the listed options market.

The report outlines record trading activity and growth in FLEX and 0DTE options. It covers shifting patterns in both retail and institutional participation and identifies drivers of volume growth.

Highlights

  • CBOE trades above short- and long-term moving averages but remains under medium-term selling pressure, signaling a mixed trend outlook.
  • Momentum and oscillator readings diverge, with some indicators showing overbought conditions while others reflect ongoing selling pressure, warranting caution.
  • Expected trading range for the week is $270–$285, with a higher likelihood of consolidation or pullback unless resistance levels are decisively broken.

Bullish short- and long-term setup as medium trend faces seller pressure

CBOE is trading at $274.40, above the MA-20 ($259.22) and just below the MA-200 ($276.68), but well under the MA-50 ($295.99), reflecting short-term and long-term bullish structure, while the medium-term trend remains under pressure from sellers. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $266.67 is below the current price, making it immediate support. Near-term support sits at the Ichimoku Kijun ($266.67) and MA-20 ($259.22), while MA-200 ($276.68) acts as near-term resistance and MA-50 ($295.99) stands as key resistance.

Divergent momentum and overbought signals as recovery falters

Momentum indicators show conflicting signals: MACD (D1) points to strong selling pressure and ADX (D1) also signals a sell, yet the RSI (D1) is in neutral-bullish territory and CCI registers a modest buy. Stoch RSI and BBP both signal overbought conditions, indicating recent buyer dominance, while AO supports the underlying buy trend. Over the past week, CBOE has risen $0.99 (0.36%) from the previous close of $273.41, with the price positioned in the lower part of the weekly range, and weekly volatility stands at 5.1%. This reflects a recovery from the weekly low, though momentum and oscillators diverge, suggesting caution. In today’s session, the stock slipped 1.37%, marking a notable pullback.

Sideways consolidation favored as upside probability remains low

Looking ahead, the expected range for CBOE over the next week is between $270 and $285, keeping the forecast within realistic volatility bands and well above the 52-week low of $227.15 but well below the 52-week high of $371.18. With only one of the four key weekly indicators (MA-50 W1) signaling “Buy,” there is a very low probability (less than 20%) of a strong move higher; further declines remain more likely. The baseline scenario is for sideways consolidation between $270 and $285. A bullish move would require a sustained break above MA-200 and MA-50 resistance, targeting a push toward $295. A bearish scenario emerges if the price closes below the Ichimoku Kijun and MA-20 support, exposing downside to the $260 area.

Previously it was reported that Cboe Global Markets was exhibiting short-term resilience but facing ongoing medium- and long-term resistance. In the current context, investors should remain alert for any decisive moves that could break the consolidation pattern, as a shift in volatility could quickly redefine key support and resistance levels.

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