Leonardo DRS RADA debuts cxMHR radar: Can DRS break above $38.2?

Leonardo DRS RADA debuts cxMHR radar: Can DRS break above $38.2?
Leonardo DRS stock rises 2% today

Leonardo DRS plans to unveil its new cxMHR fully digital 4D AESA radar for air and missile defense at AUSA this fall. Shares are up 2% on the day at $37.95.

Highlights

  • Leonardo DRS will debut its new fully digital 4D AESA radar for air and missile defense at AUSA this fall.
  • Shares of Leonardo DRS are up 2% on the day at $37.95.
  • 33 of 41 analysts rate Leonardo DRS stock a buy, with a median price target of $55 about 44.9% above current levels.

Leonardo DRS RADA will debut cxMHR, a fully digital, software-defined 4D AESA radar, at AUSA this fall. The new radar is designed to deliver 360° coverage for both mobile and fixed-site missions. Leonardo DRS employs 7,000 people and has a market value near $9.62 billion on trailing revenue of $3.77 billion.

Upside stalls as overbought signals counter MA-20 recovery

Price reclaimed the MA-20 at $37.34 during the session, indicating an attempt to reverse from recent weakness. The daily move is significant but runs against a broader bearish chart structure, as shares remain below both the MA-50 and MA-200 while holding above the MA-20 for now. The nearest resistance is the weekly high at $38.2, and Stoch RSI is in overbought territory, which limits the room for further upside and suggests caution for bullish follow-through.

Downside risk dominates as weekly chart bias stays negative

To gauge acceptance of the recent move, traders should monitor whether shares can secure a close above $38.2. Earlier in the session, the price moved back above the MA-20 at $37.34 after a previous close below that level. Despite a sustained move higher with a firm trend over the past week, downside risk remains more likely from here, with downside probability at 67% and upside probability at 33% for the coming trading week; the expected range is $36.93 to $38.96. A close above the weekly high would indicate buyers are willing to continue pressing higher, while a drop back below the MA-20 would suggest the move is being faded. On the weekly chart, the longer-term picture stays negative.

Earlier, analysts noted that despite positive contract announcements, Leonardo DRS remained in a broadly bearish technical structure with limited prospects for near-term upside. The current rebound above the MA-20 brings a potential shift in short-term momentum, making a close above $38.2 the key level to confirm further recovery.

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