Cardano price prediction: Can new privacy features lift ADA? ADA gains 1.26%

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Cardano rises 1.26% to $0.361 today

Highlights

Cardano ecosystem activity has increased due to the growing focus on the Midnight sidechain and the launch of its NIGHT token, driving higher trading volume and DEX engagement.
Charles Hoskinson stated Midnight and NIGHT are designed to enhance privacy and support Cardano's native applications, rather than to replace ADA.
Cardano continues to pursue cross-chain integration and infrastructure upgrades, including ADA bridging to Solana and Ethereum, governance updates, and initiatives to attract major stablecoins for liquidity.

Ecosystem growth and sidechain focus drive trading interest

Cardano's ecosystem has seen increased activity due to the growing focus on the Midnight sidechain and its NIGHT token, which has contributed to higher trading volume and DEX engagement. Founder Charles Hoskinson emphasized that Midnight and NIGHT are meant to enhance privacy and support Cardano's native applications, not supplant ADA. The platform is also continuing its push toward cross-chain integration and infrastructure upgrades, including plans for ADA bridging to Solana and Ethereum, work on governance updates, and efforts to attract major stablecoins for increased liquidity.

Bearish momentum sustains despite emerging oversold signals

Technically, daily MACD and ADX show a continuation of bearish momentum, while RSI at 35.4, Stoch RSI, and CCI signal the market is trending toward oversold territory. Bull/Bear Power (BBP) displays persistent seller dominance on intraday moves, and the Awesome Oscillator remains neutral, not reinforcing the dominant negative trend. The daily session opened flat without a gap, and ADA is trading close to the session high of $0.361 in a narrow $0.355 – $0.361 range, indicating low volatility and mild upward pressure; however, the coexistence of oversold oscillators and strong bearish momentum suggests the potential for brief bounces within a prevailing downtrend.

Sideways bias likely as recovery faces strong resistance

In the short term, ADA is likely to oscillate between $0.325 and $0.370, reflecting a typical volatility band relative to current levels. The probability of a sustained price recovery remains below 20%, as key weekly indicators — including RSI, ADX, MACD, and MA-50 — continue to signal downside risk. The base case anticipates sideways consolidation around recent lows, while a bullish breakout would require a move above resistance at $0.416. A more pronounced bearish scenario could develop if price action sustains a break below the $0.325 support level.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees sustained downward pressure on Cardano as it fails to hold key moving averages. Technical signals continue to show bearish momentum, despite increased ecosystem activity around Midnight and potential for greater cross-chain integration. The analyst remains cautious, noting that any recovery is unlikely unless resistance at $0.416 is breached. "Unless ADA can reclaim $0.416, I see little reason to expect lasting upside — risk remains skewed to the downside."

Previously it was reported that Cardano (ADA) remains under persistent bearish pressure, trading well below major moving averages with momentum and trend indicators such as MACD, ADX, and RSI all confirming downside dominance and weak recovery prospects. Support is situated near the recent session low, resistance is seen at $0.416, and the likelihood of further decline outweighs any near-term rebound potential.

Source of Data: ADA Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.