XRP price prediction: Further downside risk as XRP stalls under $1.63 resistance

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XRP drops 0.17% today to $1.44

Highlights

Ripple expanded institutional XRP custody through partnerships with Securosys and Figment, enabling Swiss HSM-based security and institutional-grade staking for compliance-minded clients.
Ripple's network now exceeds 300 financial institution partners, while XRP investment products attracted robust inflows of over $39–45 million despite outflows from other crypto ETFs.
XRP trades at $1.4399 below key moving averages, with technicals indicating persistent bearish momentum and a high probability of further declines toward $1.32 support.

Institutional inflows and custody upgrades as Ripple secures new partnerships

Ripple has expanded its institutional digital asset custody services for XRP through new partnerships with Securosys and Figment, introducing institutional-grade staking and enhanced security using Swiss-built Hardware Security Modules (HSM) to meet advanced compliance standards. These initiatives are part of broader efforts to support banks and enterprises through streamlined global prime brokerage services utilizing both XRP and its stablecoin RLUSD. Additionally, Ripple's growing network now encompasses over 300 financial institution partnerships, while recent market conditions saw XRP investment products record substantial inflows of over $39–45 million, outperforming other crypto ETFs that experienced outflows.

Bearish momentum persists as technical indicators confirm resistance and low volatility

Technical signals remain distinctly bearish for XRP, with the price holding below all major moving averages and the Kijun line at $1.6303 acting as immediate resistance. The $1.40 level now provides near-term support, and momentum indicators such as MACD and ADX highlight the strength of the downtrend. Both the RSI (35.41) and CCI (−89.16) are close to, but not at, oversold levels, while Bull/Bear Power continues to confirm dominance by sellers. Today's session featured low volatility, with the price staying in the middle of the $1.4284–$1.4528 range and no visible gaps between trading sessions.

Further downside risk as rebound odds remain limited for XRP

For the coming five sessions, XRP is expected to fluctuate within a volatility band of $1.32 to $1.57, reflecting typical movements relative to current levels. The chance for a rebound remains limited, with a sub-20% probability of breaking above resistance at $1.63, while momentum and moving average signals point to a higher likelihood of further declines. Should XRP maintain levels above $1.32, sideways consolidation is likely; however, a decisive move below this support could trigger additional downside.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees sustained technical weakness in XRP despite notable institutional partnerships and positive inflows. He believes seller dominance is reinforced as price stays below all major moving averages and fails to clear the Kijun resistance. The base case is further drift or decline unless $1.63 resistance is reclaimed, with a break below $1.32 resulting in added downside risk. "Until we see signs of strength above the $1.63 mark, I remain cautious and do not expect a sustainable recovery from current levels."

Last time, analysts noted that Ripple advanced its institutional digital-asset infrastructure by enhancing Ripple Custody with new security and staking features targeting regulated clients. The expanded solution integrates advanced HSM support, compliance-focused workflows, and staking via Figment, aiming to streamline custody deployment and operational controls for banks and large institutions.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.