XRP price prediction: Bearish momentum holds — XRP drops below key averages

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XRP drops 2.03% today to $1.355

Highlights

Institutional interest in XRP is rising, with $1.23 billion cumulative ETF inflows and Goldman Sachs reportedly contributing $152 million.
Recent U.S. regulatory developments and stablecoin RLUSD integration on Binance and Bitso are expanding cross-border payment capabilities using XRP.
XRP trades at $1.355, below key moving averages, with strong bearish momentum and a high probability of consolidation between $1.22 and $1.38 next week.

Institutional inflows and regulatory clarity drive demand for XRP

Recent institutional interest in XRP continues to strengthen, highlighted by $1.23 billion in cumulative ETF inflows and Goldman Sachs reportedly accounting for $152 million of this. Regulatory developments are potentially paving the way for improved clarity on XRP handling by broker-dealers and custody providers in the U.S. The integration of Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin on Binance and the adoption of Ripple Payments and RLUSD by Bitso in Latin America are further expanding cross-border capabilities for XRP.

Bearish momentum and oversold signals as technical barriers hold

Technically, XRP faces sustained selling pressure with the price firmly below all major moving averages. The nearest dynamic resistance is at the Ichimoku Kijun ($1.5926), acting as a key barrier. Momentum indicators confirm the bearish tone: the MACD remains negative, the ADX is strong, and most oscillators — including the RSI, Stochastic RSI, and CCI — indicate that the market is close to or entering oversold territory. Bull/Bear Power also points to seller dominance, while the Awesome Oscillator stays neutral, offering no bullish signal.

High downside risk as range-bound volatility persists

In the short term, XRP is expected to remain volatile within a band between $1.22 and $1.38, consistent with recent typical volatility. There is a very high probability (over 80%) of further downside, with sideways consolidation in this price region the baseline expectation. A bullish shift would require a clear break above $1.38, aiming for $1.59 resistance, while a close below $1.22 could accelerate losses toward lower psychological support.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP under persistent technical pressure despite recent institutional inflows and regulatory steps. He notes the price remains well below major moving averages, and momentum indicators confirm a strong bearish tone. While growing interest from major players is positive for the long-term, current dynamics suggest sellers remain in control. "Until XRP reclaims $1.38, I consider further downside and range-bound trading the most probable scenario."

Previously it was reported that XRP remains in a bearish trend, trading below its key moving averages with technical indicators such as MACD, ADX, and RSI reinforcing a prevailing sell bias and the asset nearing oversold levels. Unless a breakout above resistance occurs, consolidation within the $1.24 to $1.52 range is expected, with elevated downside risk if support near $1.24 fails.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.