XRP price prediction: More downside ahead as XRP gains 2.31% on mixed signals

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XRP jumps 2.31% today to $1.359

Highlights

The SEC continues to review the NYSE Arca proposal for the T. Rowe Price Active Crypto ETF, which includes XRP among its eligible assets.
Arizona Senate Bill 1649, potentially establishing a state-run Digital Assets Strategic Reserve Fund featuring XRP, has advanced but faces a legislative vote and possible veto.
XRP trades at $1.359, below its MA-20 ($1.4123), with technicals signaling strong downside momentum and a base-case consolidation range of $1.22–$1.49 for the coming week.

ETF inflows hold steady despite sustained sector outflows and legislative hurdles

The SEC has continued its review of the NYSE Arca proposal for the T. Rowe Price Active Crypto ETF, where XRP is listed among the eligible assets for the fund. Arizona's Senate Bill 1649, enabling the creation of a state-run Digital Assets Strategic Reserve Fund including XRP, has advanced but still requires a legislative vote and faces the possibility of a veto. Despite five consecutive weeks of outflows from crypto ETFs and macro-driven selling in digital assets, reported inflows for XRP ETF products have remained stable to slightly negative, with these products not recording any negative months since their launch.

Bearish momentum confirmed as oversold signals diverge with continued selling

On the momentum front, both the MACD and ADX give strong sell signals on the daily timeframe, confirming bearish momentum. The RSI and Commodity Channel Index indicate slight to moderate oversold conditions, with the Stochastic RSI also hovering near oversold, though not at extremes. Bull/Bear Power remains negative, signaling sellers dominate intraday action. The current price sits near the lower end of today’s range, suggesting moderate volatility and continued selling pressure intraday. There is a mild divergence as oscillators reflect emerging oversold conditions while price action and momentum indicators reinforce ongoing downside pressure.

Downside risk dominates outlook amid narrow probability for breakout

Looking ahead, the expected price range for the next 5 trading days is approximately $1.22 to $1.49, defining a typical volatility band relative to current levels. There is a very low probability — less than 20% — of a sustained move higher, while further declines are more likely. The baseline scenario is for XRP to consolidate sideways between $1.22 and $1.49. A sustained break above immediate resistance at $1.47 could enable a quick push toward the upper end of the range, while a close below $1.22 would indicate renewed selling and expose the asset to more pronounced losses.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees sustained downside for XRP as technical indicators and momentum remain firmly bearish. He notes that ETF inflows have been unremarkable and regulatory developments, while potentially supportive in the long term, offer no immediate relief. The base case is continued sideways to lower trading between $1.22 and $1.49, with little sign of reversal. "As long as XRP remains capped under $1.47 and technical momentum stays negative, I remain defensive and see limited upside in the near term."

Previously it was reported that XRP continues to trade within a defined range near $1.33, with technical indicators like the RSI and MACD signaling ongoing selling pressure and rallies struggling to extend. Resistance remains in the $1.40s while support has formed near $1.30, and moving averages confirm that buyers are focused on defending key levels rather than driving a breakout.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.