XRP hovers mid-range as ETF inflows near $3 million: weekly review

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XRP rises 8.03% over the week

Highlights

XRP trades below key moving averages, with long-term support near 1.1980 signaling persistent downside pressure.
Momentum and volatility indicators show sustained bearish bias and weak trend despite a brief 8% price rebound.
XRP is likely to consolidate between 1.08 and 1.32 this week, with sub-20% probability of upside breakout.

ETF inflows and legislative reforms drive institutional sentiment this week

The XRP Ledger underwent a major infrastructure upgrade to version 3.2.0, with the server renamed from 'rippled' to 'xrpld', expanded developer tools, and other enhancements. Institutional demand continues to rise, as ETFs focused on XRP attracted nearly $3 million in inflows and cumulative ETF allocations reached approximately $1.44 billion. The regulatory environment for XRP has improved, supported by recent legislative steps such as the CLARITY Act and ongoing reviews related to potential Federal Reserve access.

Bearish technical bias prevails with oversold signals and volatile trading

Weekly technical indicators remain bearish, as XRP trades below both the MA-20 and MA-50, with support provided by the MA-200 near $1.1980. The RSI on the weekly chart is weak at 34.9, suggesting lack of buying strength, while MACD and ADX both confirm negative momentum. The CCI flags oversold conditions, and Stochastic RSI oscillates from neutral to softly bullish, but overall oscillator signals are mixed. Weekly volatility is elevated at 17.97%, and Bull/Bear Power remains negative, underlining continued seller dominance.

Limited upside as consolidation expected within range barring technical shift

In the next 7 days, XRP is likely to consolidate within the $1.08 – $1.32 range, as suggested by current weekly volatility and indicator readings. The probability of a sustained rise is low, with less than a 20% chance of a bullish breakout, since none of the main technical indicators are signaling a buy. Downside risk remains elevated, especially if support at $1.08 fails, which could confirm renewed bearish momentum. A firm close above $1.32 would be required to shift sentiment toward the bulls.

Parshwa Turakhiya, analyst, notes that XRP advanced 8.03% over the past week but remains capped by technical resistance, with price still under the MA-20 and MA-50. Sentiment is buoyed by infrastructure upgrades to the XRP Ledger and nearly $3 million in fresh ETF inflows, reflecting rising institutional interest. Yet, momentum indicators like MACD, ADX, and a weak RSI all signal that negative sentiment persists and sellers remain dominant. Turakhiya expects volatility to drive sideways price action within the $1.08 – $1.32 range in the coming week unless support gives way. He states, "With most signals still bearish, I see this week as an opportunity for selective, sentiment-driven trades but will avoid chasing until the price firmly retakes $1.32."

Earlier, analysts noted that XRP faced mixed technical momentum and persistent range-bound trading, with institutional developments offering limited immediate impact. The latest analysis reinforces this cautious outlook, highlighting ongoing seller dominance and recommending that traders closely monitor the MA-200 as the decisive long-term support in the week ahead.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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