XRP price tests $1.38 as buy orders build after SEC resolution

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XRP price steadies near $1.38

Highlights

XRP keeps a firm price at $1.38 as sell-side pressure from historical litigation risks dissipates.
Rising bid depth on major exchanges suggests a transition from speculative retail plays to long-term accumulation.
The market is increasingly pricing in the likelihood of spot ETF applications following the resolution of federal appeals.

XRP price action shows a significant tightening of the daily trading range, with $1.34 serving as a magnetic pivot point for the day. After successfully defending the $1.28 level during a brief dip in the middle of the week, the asset has established a base that signals a decrease in liquidations driven by panic selling. This compression often acts as a coiled spring, suggesting that the next major move will likely be driven by fundamental news rather than technical exhaustion.

The resistance remains strong near the $1.55 mark, a zone that has capped multiple rallies since the beginning of the year. A high-volume breach of this ceiling would likely expose the $1.80 corridor, where previous cycles met significant profit-taking. Conversely, a failure to hold the psychological $1.25 level could lead to a swift retest of $1, though the current order book depth proposes strong interest from buyers at lower entries.

Momentum indicators such as the relative strength index are currently hovering in neutral territory, providing the asset with ample room to move in either direction without reaching overbought conditions. This lack of extreme sentiment is seen by some desk traders as a healthy development, allowing the market to absorb the recent gains made during the final stages of the Ripple settlement before attempting a fresh leg higher.

XRP price dynamics (February 2026-March 2026). Source: TradingView.

Capital flows pivot toward network utility

The definitive conclusion of the federal case against Ripple Labs has effectively removed the “security” label concerns that previously sidelined major U.S. banks. With the $50 million settlement finalized and the SEC opting not to pursue further appeals, the legal landscape for the XRP Ledger is now the clearest it has been in a decade. This clarity is prompting a revival of dormant pilot programs among payment providers who require real-time settlement assets without the threat of retroactive regulatory action.

Beyond the courtroom, a shifting guard at the SEC is fostering a more predictable environment for digital finance. The expected appointment of commissioners who prioritize clear statutory definitions for tokens is a major tailwind for the broader ecosystem. This administrative evolution is anticipated to streamline the path for diverse financial products, potentially allowing XRP to be integrated into traditional brokerage platforms with minimal friction.

Market participants are also keeping a close eye on the growing transactional volume on the XRP Ledger itself. As corporate entities begin to move from trial phases to live production for international remittances, the organic demand for the token as a bridge currency provides a fundamental backdrop that is less reliant on macro sentiment. This shift from speculation to utility is viewed as a critical milestone in the maturation of the asset class.

Pathway toward the $2 milestone

In an optimistic scenario, the formal filing of a spot XRP exchange-traded fund would likely serve as the primary catalyst for a push toward $2.10 by the end of the year. Such a product would unlock vast pools of institutional capital that are currently restricted from holding digital assets directly. The convergence of ETF-driven demand and increased network usage could fundamentally revalue the asset relative to its peers.

However, the path higher is not without obstacles, particularly if the Federal Reserve maintains a restrictive monetary policy to combat sticky inflation. High-interest rates generally dampen the appetite for risk-sensitive assets, which could pin XRP within a consolidatory range between $1.15 and $1.45 for several months. Investors remain cautious of broader macroeconomic shifts that could override the positive domestic regulatory momentum.

The resolution of the long-standing legal battle between SEC and XRP has provided a necessary precedent for the entire blockchain sector operating within the U.S. by defining the boundaries of digital asset sales. This milestone marks the end of an era of uncertainty, allowing the industry to focus on scaling infrastructure for the next generation of global finance.

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