Sideways price prediction for VET — resistance and low volatility stall VeChain progress

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VeChain Slips 0.08% Today on Weak Momentum

Highlights

VeChain (VET) trades at $0.02418 below MA-20 ($0.02423), MA-50 ($0.02432), and MA-200 ($0.02468), indicating continued selling pressure and long-term resistance.
The Hayabusa network upgrade lowered inflation and introduced a dual-token model that rewards users, improving VeChain’s tokenomics and signaling breakout potential amid recent market rallies.
Technical indicators are mixed, with a projected five-day range of $0.02317–$0.02428 and less than 20% probability of an upside move, favoring a further decline or sideways action.

Inflation controls and tokenomics shift bolster breakout potential

The recent Hayabusa network upgrade has reduced blockchain inflation and introduced a dual-token model that rewards active users, strengthening VeChain’s tokenomics. These improvements highlight VET as an undervalued altcoin with breakout potential. VeChain's price has also bounced in tandem with a broader market rally following Bitcoin gains, with further momentum possible if resistance levels are surpassed.

Mixed signals highlight narrow range and uncertain momentum

Momentum indicators on the daily chart send mixed signals. The MACD is neutral, while the ADX shows weak trend strength, and the RSI near 55 suggests moderate bullish undertones. However, Stoch RSI and CCI both indicate mild selling or oversold bias, while BBP stays neutral, and the Awesome Oscillator aligns with a soft bearish direction. Today’s price action is nearly unchanged from yesterday's close with no gap and is currently mid-range between $0.02407 and $0.02459, reflecting low intraday volatility and mild downward pressure after the open. This divergence between sideways to weak bearish momentum and neutral oscillators signals possible short-term indecision.

Probability favors decline as tight band constrains upside

For the next five trading days, the expected price range is $0.02317 to $0.02428, with the probability of an upward move very low (less than 20%). This makes a further decline the more likely scenario. The baseline scenario sees VET staying in a narrow sideways band. A bullish scenario could emerge only if price breaks decisively above resistance at $0.02510, targeting the upper boundary of the range. A bearish scenario will be realized if the price falls below $0.02407, opening the way to test weekly support near $0.02317.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees VeChain (VET) locked below key moving averages, reflecting persistent selling pressure and low odds of an immediate breakout. While the Hayabusa upgrade is a positive adjustment for tokenomics, current momentum indicators are mixed and signal little conviction from either bulls or bears. Kharitonov remains cautious given the projected low likelihood (less than 20%) of an upward move in the near term. "Base case remains for a sideways or lower move — until VET decisively reclaims $0.02510, I see no catalyst for a reversal."

Previously it was noted that VeChain’s ongoing partnerships with major companies highlight real-world adoption and the project’s commitment to expanding practical blockchain solutions. The outlook anticipated range-bound price action for VET, with low upside probability constraining moves according to the baseline scenario is for VET to remain range-bound.

Source of Data: VET Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.