XRP latest news: Sideways action expected as oversold signals persist below MA-50

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XRP Slides 0.91% Today to $2.85

Highlights

XRP trades at $2.8537, down 0.91% on the day, below its MA-20 ($2.9662) and MA-50 ($2.9941) but above the MA-200 ($2.5344).
The SEC-approved XRP spot ETF launched in the U.S. with $37.7 million first-day trading in 2025, boosting regulatory clarity and institutional interest despite high September volatility and an $11 billion market cap drop.
Technical momentum remains mixed, with bearish oscillators and a likely sideways trade in the $2.7973–$2.8204 range; a close above $2.94 is required to target $3.00, otherwise a drop toward $2.53 is possible.

Institutional interest rises amid ETF launch and regulatory clarity

The approval and launch of the first SEC-approved XRP spot ETF in the United States, which debuted with $37.7 million in first-day trading and marked the largest crypto ETF launch of 2025, has given regulatory clarity and fueled renewed institutional interest. Ripple’s recent resolution with the SEC and the global listing of multiple XRP ETPs have increased market confidence further, while upgrades to the XRP Ledger and new partnerships have expanded XRP’s reach in DeFi and cross-border payments. September 2025 also saw high volatility and an $11 billion drop in market cap, driven by ETF flows, on-chain activity, and competition from other payment protocols.

Mixed momentum signals as price tests major resistance and support

Technically, XRP holds above its long-term MA-200 support at $2.5344 but remains under pressure below the MA-20 and MA-50. Nearby dynamic resistance stands at the Ichimoku Kijun around $2.9417, while immediate support is near $2.5344. Momentum signals are mixed: the daily MACD is bullish but the ADX suggests a weak trend, and RSI at 36.84 alongside a CCI of –117 reinforce oversold conditions. Stoch RSI and the Awesome Oscillator support a short-term bearish scenario, while the BBP points to intraday seller control, with oscillators showing no consensus on a swift reversal.

Sideways trading likely as upside limited by weak momentum

Over the next five trading days, the most likely scenario is for XRP to fluctuate sideways in a corridor above $2.80, within a range of $2.7973 to $2.8204. The odds of an upward move are low, under 20%, and a sustained recovery requires a close above $2.94 to target $3.00. Unless momentum shifts, continued decline is more probable, especially if support at $2.80 falters — which could open up a move toward the long-term MA-200 near $2.53.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees XRP’s technical structure under pressure, with prices trading below the MA-20 and MA-50 despite positive regulatory developments like the SEC-approved ETF launch and institutional inflows. While recent news has lifted sentiment and underpinned long-term support, momentum and oscillator readings suggest weak trend strength and reinforce a defensive stance. Base case remains a sideways move above $2.80; if support at $2.80 fails, a drop toward the MA-200 at $2.53 becomes likely. "Until XRP decisively breaks above the $2.94 level, I remain cautious and see little reason to chase upside opportunities here."

Previously it was noted that optimism among investors was boosted by the recent partnership between Ripple, DBS, and Franklin Templeton, which focuses on tokenised U.S. dollar money-market funds on the XRP Ledger. Additionally, the combination of a favorable macro backdrop and technical resilience led to increased confidence that XRP could test resistance in the near term, as reported in the combination of macro relief and the Ripple-DBS-Franklin partnership.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.