Will Rocket Pool rebound soon? Here’s why price prediction remains bearish

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Rocket Pool Rises 2.78% Today

Highlights

Rocket Pool (RPL) trades at $5.55, down 20.9% this week, remaining below its MA-20 ($6.26), MA-50 ($7.06), and MA-200 ($5.71).
Technical indicators show RPL faces resistance at $6.25 and is deeply oversold, with major averages pointing toward sustained downside momentum and mixed signals from MACD and oscillators.
RPL is projected to range between $4.92 and $5.55 this week, with less than 20% probability of recovery until a close above $6.25.

Short-term bearish tilt emerges amid Saturn upgrade anticipation

Rocket Pool has seen notable volatility recently, with a 12.3% drop over 24 hours and a 20.9% decline in the past week, highlighting increased short-term bearish sentiment. This comes amid anticipation for the Saturn Mainnet Upgrade, planned for Q4 2025, which is expected to enhance staking capacity and user incentives through new features such as 4 ETH validators and MEGAPOOLS. The upcoming network milestone is viewed as a potential future catalyst despite near-term negative price momentum.

Downtrend confirmed as resistance holds and momentum gauges oversold

Technically, RPL faces dynamic resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun near $6.25 and finds support in the $5.32–$5.55 zone, with major moving averages sloped downward and signaling sustained downside bias. Momentum indicators are mixed — the daily MACD shows persistent bearishness alongside moderate ADX trend strength. Meanwhile, RSI, CCI, and Stoch RSI remain deeply oversold, signaling potential for near-term exhaustion, while Bull/Bear Power is neutral and the awesome oscillator supports the prevailing downward momentum.

Lower target favored as sideways range limits rebound odds

Over the coming week, RPL is projected to range between $4.92 and $5.55, with a midpoint near $5.24. Odds favor a decline, with less than 20% probability for a meaningful recovery. The baseline scenario sees prices fluctuating sideways within $5.32–$5.55. A close above $6.25 could trigger upside, but a move below $5.32 risks testing lower support at $4.92.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Senior Analyst at Traders Union, sees Rocket Pool trading under short-term pressure, yet attributes recent turbulence largely to anticipation around the Saturn Mainnet Upgrade. He believes the ongoing downward momentum is primarily technical and sentiment-driven, while the underlying fundamentals and upcoming network catalyst provide a constructive longer-term outlook. Despite the current bearish tone, Karapetjanc maintains moderate optimism on structured recovery potential as macro and network upgrade narratives begin to take shape. "While the odds currently favor further consolidation, I see the upcoming Saturn upgrade as a strong driver for renewed demand and will look for a breakout if $6.25 is reclaimed."

Last time we reported that sentiment-driven volatility intensified as Rocket Pool lacked fresh catalysts. The article highlighted that momentum signals are mixed — the MACD and ADX indicate weak or neutral movement while RSI reflects mild downside bias.

Source of Data: RPL Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.