Jupiter: heavy selling pressure led to a 29% price drop

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Jupiter drops 28.62% amid selloff

Highlights

Jupiter (JUP) plunged 28.62% intraday to $0.3073, trading well below its MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, indicating strong downside momentum.
Jupiter will launch its native stablecoin JupUSD in Q4 2025, aiming to migrate $750 million of USDC liquidity and integrate with swaps, lending, and perpetuals platforms.
Technical indicators remain bearish with JUP below the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.4935 and less than a 20% chance of recovery above $0.4935 next week.

Liquidity migration plans fuel sentiment ahead of JupUSD stablecoin debut

Jupiter is preparing to launch its native stablecoin, JupUSD, in Q4 2025, which will initially be fully collateralized by Ethena Labs’ USDtb stablecoin and later supplemented by USDe. This product will be deeply integrated across Jupiter’s swaps, lending, and perpetuals platforms, with plans to migrate approximately $750 million of USDC liquidity into JupUSD, boosting ecosystem liquidity and engagement. Jupiter’s partnership with Ethena Labs also means JupUSD benefits from a hybrid collateral and yield strategy, while multiple planned smart contract audits aim to strengthen security.

Seller control persists as technical signals confirm pressured momentum

Technically, JUP is under heavy pressure from sellers, trading below key moving averages and facing dynamic resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun level of $0.4935. Momentum remains decisively bearish, with both MACD and Awesome Oscillator indicating strong selling, though D1 ADX shows robust but divergent buy momentum. RSI sits at 45.96 and CCI at –100.8, both signaling oversold conditions, while Stoch RSI is neutral on the daily and oversold on higher timeframes. BBP remains negative, confirming seller dominance, with JUP hovering near today’s low in a volatile and pressured environment.

Sideways consolidation likely as upside capped by resistance

For the next five trading days, JUP is expected to trade between $0.4073 and $0.4425, with a sideways consolidation below $0.44 as the baseline scenario. The bullish outcome would require a move above $0.4935, which is not currently supported by long-term signals, leaving less than a 20% chance of sustainable upside. A breakdown below support near $0.30 could open the way for further losses.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Jupiter (JUP) remains under strong selling pressure, trading well below its key moving averages and major resistance levels, while technical signals continue to point to a firmly bearish environment. Despite the upcoming launch of the JupUSD stablecoin and ecosystem integrations, current downside momentum outweighs any immediate fundamental catalysts, keeping upside potential limited in the short term. Kharitonov emphasizes a cautious outlook, citing risks of further declines if support near $0.30 is breached. "Until JUP can reclaim at least the $0.44–$0.49 zone, I see no compelling reason to shift away from a defensive stance," he concludes.

Previously it was noted that institutional adoption builds as partnerships drive Jupiter ecosystem growth. The last report highlighted that persistent seller pressure across all major timeframes continued to weigh on the asset’s momentum.

Source of Data: JUP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.