Dog climbs 7.9% after whales sell amid U.S.

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Dog jumps 7.90% today on volatility

Highlights

Dog (DOG) trades at $0.001761, below MA-20 ($0.002084), MA-50 ($0.002215), and MA-200 ($0.003064), signaling ongoing bearish pressure across all timeframes.
On October 11, 2025, 360 million DOG tokens ($74,000,000) changed hands due to whale selling triggered by renewed U.S.–China trade tensions, while $0.18 acted as key support amid heavy volume.
Despite a 7.90% intraday price gain and mixed momentum signals, DOG's baseline scenario projects stabilization between $0.001511 and $0.001702 next week with less than 20% upside probability.

Flows and sentiment shift following recent developments

Dogecoin faced a sharp morning selloff on October 11, 2025, after renewed U.S. — China trade tensions prompted significant whale selling, with around 360 million tokens ($74,000,000) changing hands. Strong buying activity near $0.18 established a critical support zone as liquidity providers and corporate flows absorbed the sell orders, with trading volume topping 1.4 billion tokens. Resistance remains unbroken while traders monitor for further developments.

Mixed momentum as volatility rises and oscillators diverge

Momentum signals are mixed: the MACD remains bearish, but the ADX shows strong trend activity. The RSI and CCI both indicate oversold conditions on the daily chart, while the Stoch RSI is neutral. The BBP is neutral, suggesting sellers are not fully in control of the intraday action. Today's price rose 7.90%, moving sharply upward from the open, with only a minor gap between the previous close ($0.001632) and today's open ($0.001648). The price now sits near the upper end of today’s intraday range, reflecting high volatility and demonstrating strength toward the highs. Notably, oscillators and momentum signals diverge. Despite strong short-term gains, overall momentum and trend signals remain weak.

Low probability of rally as sideways stabilization expected

For the coming week, the expected price range is $0.001511 to $0.001702. The probability of a meaningful price increase is very low (less than 20%), with a price decline remaining more likely. The baseline scenario is for price to stabilize within a sideways corridor between support at $0.001511 and resistance near $0.001702. Should DOG break above $0.001702, a bullish scenario may develop with potential for further gains. Conversely, a move below $0.001511 would confirm the bearish view and open the risk for further decline.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that DOG remains under persistent bearish pressure across all major moving averages, and despite today's price rebound, momentum and trend signals are still weak. He sees the recent uptick as a reaction to heavy morning selling triggered by renewed U.S. — China trade tensions and whale-driven flows, rather than a sign of underlying strength. Kharitonov maintains a cautious tactical outlook, expecting price to remain rangebound unless $0.001702 resistance gives way. "Until DOG can reclaim the $0.001702 level with supporting momentum, I remain defensive and see limited upside in this environment," the expert concludes.

Previously it was noted that the asset was trading within a narrow sideways range as downside bias dominated. Last time we reported that momentum signals are mixed but reinforced the prevailing downtrend in the asset.

Source of Data: DOG Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.