Hedera latest news: HBAR approaches support near $0.1347

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Hedera slides 7.81% today on selling

Highlights

Canary Capital's Spot Hedera ETF now holds over 413 million HBAR tokens, accounting for 0.83% of total supply and reducing exchange liquidity.
Hedera Hashgraph launched a public beta promising 10,000 transactions per second and introduced new smart contract and file storage services at $0.0001 average fees.
Ecosystem growth accelerated with a 101% increase in developers and new partnerships, including a collaboration with the Linux Foundation.

ETF accumulation tightens liquidity amid ecosystem and developer surge

Canary Capital's Spot Hedera ETF has significantly increased its holdings to over 413 million HBAR tokens, representing about 0.83% of the asset's total supply, resulting in reduced liquidity on exchanges. The Hedera Hashgraph network also began a public beta test, boasting claimed throughput of 10,000 transactions per second and new smart contract and file storage services with average fees of $0.0001. Strong ecosystem growth is supported by a 101% increase in developers and new partnerships such as with the Linux Foundation.

Bearish momentum intensifies as oversold signals and intraday gap emerge

Momentum indicators on the daily timeframe remain bearish: MACD and ADX both signal a continuation of downside pressure, and there are clear signs of oversold conditions on RSI (33.7), Stoch RSI (0.0), and CCI (–136.3), reflecting extended selling. BBP shows sellers firmly in control, and the Awesome Oscillator supports the ongoing downward trend. HBAR opened today at $0.1366, just below yesterday's close of $0.1469, indicating a downward gap. The price sits close to the daily low of $0.1347, and intraday volatility has been high. Pressure intensified after the open, with momentum signals and price action reinforcing a sustained bearish intraday tone.

Downside risk dominates as trading band and momentum favor further losses

For the next five trading days, HBAR is expected to trade between $0.1220 and $0.1420, with the current price nearly centered within this band. The probability of a further decline is very high (more than 80%), while a rebound appears much less likely. In the baseline scenario, HBAR consolidates within the $0.1220–$0.1420 corridor. A bullish move would require reclaiming the $0.1420 area and the Kijun resistance, prompting a short-term retracement higher. Conversely, a break below $0.1220 would likely accelerate selling and open the way for further downside. All key momentum and trend indicators, both daily and weekly, continue to favor the downside.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees HBAR under heavy technical pressure, with all major moving averages and momentum indicators pointing to continued downside. He notes positive fundamental developments, such as institutional ETF accumulation and network upgrades, but believes these are not strong enough to offset the prevailing bearish market sentiment. The analyst expects consolidation within the $0.1220 — $0.1420 band, with a high risk of further decline if support breaks. "For now, sellers are firmly in control and I remain defensive until HBAR reclaims the $0.1420 level with conviction."

Previously it was noted that there was a notable divergence between oscillators and momentum indicators, as highlighted in the intraday strength diverges from daily caution. The article also emphasized an increase in whale accumulation and governance activity ahead of potential network upgrades.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.