Nio price drops — what’s behind today’s move (December 31)

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Nio Slides 7.45% Today to $5.09

Highlights

Nio delivered a record 48,135 vehicles in December 2025, representing a 54.6% increase from the prior year.
Fourth quarter deliveries reached 124,807 vehicles, up 71.7% year over year, while full-year deliveries grew 46.9% to 326,028 vehicles.
Growth was driven by scaling Onvo and Firefly sub-brands, but Nio continued to face tariff pressures in the US and Europe.

Annual delivery surge offsets brand gains amid tariff obstacles

Nio set new records in December 2025 by delivering 48,135 vehicles, a 54.6% increase from the prior year. For the fourth quarter, Nio reported 124,807 vehicles delivered, up 71.7% year over year, and annual deliveries rose 46.9% to 326,028 vehicles. The company benefited from scaling its Onvo and Firefly sub-brands, but continued to face headwinds from tariff pressures in the US and Europe.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, believes Nio's technical setup remains fragile. He highlights that the price drop, combined with negative momentum and a failure to recover intraday, signals weak buyer conviction. Despite strong delivery growth in recent reports, he sees ongoing tariff headwinds and resistance at $5.30 limiting near-term upside. Medium- and long-term moving averages lean bearish, while high volatility increases the risk of further declines. "Until Nio can reclaim key resistance and prove durability against global trade challenges, I remain highly cautious on any reversal attempts."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees recent delivery records as a sign of Nio’s resilient business model and strong demand growth. He notes the scaling of Onvo and Firefly sub-brands as a core driver for the company’s robust annual expansion. Karapetjanc remains confident that the impact of tariffs can be managed as the company consolidates gains and explores new markets. He sees opportunity for a rebound if resistance levels are cleared. "With Nio’s continued delivery momentum and brand scaling, further growth is on the horizon for adaptive investors."

Parshwa Turakhiya, analyst, interprets current sentiment as dominated by cautious sellers after a sharp gap down and high volatility. He observes that momentum remains negative, but near-term stabilization around $5.00 suggests the chance for opportunistic short-term trades. Turakhiya sees little upside unless $5.30 is regained, but emphasizes intraday setups if volatility persists. "I see tactical opportunities for nimble traders if price action stays dynamic around these support levels."

Persistent seller control as momentum indicators confirm intraday gap down

Momentum signals remain negative, with the MACD on a strong sell and the ADX indicating firm seller control. RSI and Stoch RSI both point to ongoing downside pressure but without a clear oversold condition, while CCI is neutral to slightly positive. BBP signals sellers dominating intraday momentum. The current price is near today’s low after a notable gap down at the open, slipping 7.45% on high volatility. This confirms pronounced intraday selling pressure with no sign yet of a reversal, consistent with weak daily momentum.

Last time, analysts noted that Nio shares were hovering just above short- and long-term moving averages but facing resistance at the MA-50, with volatility heightened and daily technicals reflecting persistent bearish momentum. Momentum and oscillators, including a negative MACD, downtrending ADX, and mixed RSI/CCI signals, pointed to selling pressure as the overall session is negative despite modest intraday buying attempts.

Source of Data: NIO Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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