Intel stock: Q4 revenue beat and SambaNova deal fail to prevent a sharp daily loss

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Intel drops 3.84% to $45.10 today

Highlights

Intel reported Q4 2025 revenue of $13.7 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $0.15, both at or above guidance expectations.
The company invested in SambaNova Systems’ $350 million+ Series E round and initiated a multi-year AI inference partnership integrating SN50 chips with Xeon processors and GPUs.
Intel shares trade at $45.10, below short-term resistance at $47.00–$48.44, with support at $43.00, and a medium- to long-term bullish structure intact.

Sales and AI partnerships outpace forecasts as selling pressure persists

Intel reported fourth-quarter 2025 revenue of $13.7 billion, which was at the high end of its guidance, alongside a non-GAAP gross margin of 37.9% and non-GAAP EPS of $0.15, both exceeding guidance. Intel Capital participated in a Series E funding round exceeding $350 million for AI chipmaker SambaNova Systems, and the company has entered a multi-year collaboration to integrate SambaNova’s SN50 inference chip with its Xeon processors and GPUs to provide high-performance AI inference solutions. These developments occurred as price action has remained under broader selling pressure.

Weak upside momentum as resistance holds and buyers lose control

On the technical front, INTC faces resistance at the Ichimoku Kijun ($48.44) and the MA-20 ($47.27), while support is established at the MA-50 ($43.91), with longer-term bullish structure confirmed by the MA-200 at $32.11. The daily MACD is neutral and the ADX at 15.22 signals a lack of strong short-term trend, while RSI registers a mildly bullish 52.42. Stochastic RSI and CCI are neutral to slightly oversold, but Bull/Bear Power indicates that buyer dominance is waning. The Awesome Oscillator shows a bearish turn, with price trading near the session low and downward momentum leading intraday sentiment.

Rangebound outlook dominates as breakout signals remain absent

Over the next week, the typical volatility band is expected between $43.00 and $47.00. There is a very high probability (over 80%) of sideways movement within this range. A bullish scenario would require a breakout above $47.00, targeting higher levels if buying momentum improves. If INTC drops below $43.00, this would open downside toward earlier support zones.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Intel’s technicals signal short-term resistance and fading bullish momentum. He sees the recent positive earnings and strategic AI partnerships as positives, but overall price action remains under pressure and indicators point to indecisive sentiment. The analyst remains cautious given weak momentum, high probability for sideways movement, and key resistance levels capping upside. "Until Intel reclaims $47.00 with conviction, I remain defensive and see little reason to chase longs here."

Last time, analysts noted that Intel shares tested resistance near $50 following the SambaNova partnership announcement before retreating to $47 as investors assessed elevated foundry losses against robust Xeon demand and server CPU price hikes. Technically, the stock remains in an uptrend but faces resistance at the $50 level, with moving averages flattening and momentum indicators such as RSI and MACD showing signs of consolidation, suggesting key support around the mid-$40s.

Source of Data: INTC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.