Bakkt stock price forecast: Bearish trend persists as BKKT gains 4.66% with resistance ahead

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Bakkt rises 4.66% to $9.89 today

Highlights

Bakkt is projected to report Q4 2025 revenue of $396.23 million with an expected loss of $0.62 per share on March 17, 2026.
Last quarter's earnings missed expectations, resulting in a significant single-day share price drop after reporting a $1.15 per share loss.
Technicals indicate persistent selling pressure, with price likely to oscillate between $9.40 and $10.60 and downside risk prevailing.

Share price pressured by persistent earnings misses and cautious outlook

Bakkt is set to release its Q4 2025 earnings on March 17, 2026, with consensus estimates pointing to revenue of $396.23 million and an expected loss of $0.62 per share. In the previous quarter ending September 30, 2025, the company reported actual revenue of $402.21 million and a loss of $1.15 per share, missing analysts’ expectations. Following the last earnings report, the company's share price saw a significant single-day decline.

Mixed oscillator signals cap momentum as resistance holds just above

Technically, the Ichimoku Kijun at $10.54 looms as immediate resistance for BKKT, with the current price situated below short-, medium-, and long-term moving averages. MACD signals indicate strong selling pressure on daily and weekly intervals, while ADX is muted, showing no prevailing trend strength. RSI and CCI reflect mild bearish momentum, although neither signals oversold conditions; Stoch RSI stands out as supportive, showing a strong buy signal from a mid-range value. BBP turns positive at 0.35, suggesting increased buying interest during the session, and price action is near the upper end of today’s volatility range ($9.55–$10.20) with moderate intraday volatility and mixed oscillator signals.

Downside risk prevails as sell signals outweigh breakout potential

Over the next five trading days, BKKT is likely to remain within a typical volatility band between $9.40 and $10.60. Given robust sell signals from MA, MACD, and RSI on both daily and weekly chart intervals, the probability of an upward breakout is low (below 20%). If resistance at $10.54 is breached, a move above $10.60 may follow; otherwise, a decline below $9.40 could open further downside risk, with price action likely to remain sideways within this range.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Bakkt Holdings as a company under persistent selling pressure, yet showing early signs of buyer interest. He notes that despite technical headwinds and recent earnings disappointments, the sentiment is stabilizing above support, with indicators like the Stoch RSI suggesting tactical upside attempts. Karapetjanc explains that if Bakkt can surpass the $10.54 resistance, a short-term rally may unfold, but staying cautious is warranted given broader bearish momentum. "I believe positive sentiment is quietly building, and any catalyst above resistance could trigger renewed interest in BKKT."

Earlier, analysts noted that Bakkt Holdings was experiencing persistent weakness and downside pressure amid challenging technical and fundamental conditions. With current market signals continuing to reflect a subdued outlook, traders should closely monitor the $10.54 resistance level as a potential catalyst for any shift in trend direction.

Source of Data: BKKT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.