+3.03% for Intel — bullish trends persist as support holds above $38

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Intel up 3.03% today on bullish momentum

Highlights

Intel Corporation (INTC) is trading at $38.12, up 3.03% intraday and well above MA-20 ($35.30), MA-50 ($28.75), and MA-200 ($23.24), confirming strong bullish trends.
INTC reported a Q2 2025 loss of $0.10 per share, missing estimates by $0.11, but revenue grew year-over-year to $12.86 billion and institutional investors are increasing positions.
With three out of four weekly indicators bullish and a projected five-session target range of $40.93–$41.50, there is over 80% probability of further price gains.

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Intel reported Q2 2025 earnings with a loss of $0.10 per share, missing estimates by $0.11, but revenue grew year-over-year to $12.86 billion. The company provided flat EPS guidance for Q3 2025. Some institutional investors have increased their positions in INTC, reflecting confidence in its long-term chip initiatives and AI project momentum.

Diverging momentum indicators as rally meets trend exhaustion risk

Momentum signals on the daily chart are mixed. MACD shows strong bullish momentum while ADX indicates a very strong but overextended trend, flagged as "Strong Sell." RSI sits at 60.06, suggesting buyers retain the upper hand, whereas Stoch RSI (17.27) hints the stock is emerging from oversold conditions. CCI is moderately bullish, but BBP is neutral, showing neither full buyer nor seller dominance intraday. There was a notable gap up from the previous close ($37.00) to today’s open ($38.30). The current price is at mid-range ($37.88–$38.50) after a 3.03% intraday gain, indicating moderate volatility and a positive tone after the open. Divergence between momentum indicators highlights that while the daily rally is confirmed by MACD and price action, ADX and some oscillators warn of potential exhaustion.

Bullish target zone as weekly signals outweigh reversal probability

Looking ahead to the next five sessions, the anticipated trading range for INTC is $40.93 to $41.50, with an average target of $41.21. Three out of four major weekly indicators (RSI, MACD, MA-50) signal a bullish posture, while only the ADX suggests caution. This equates to a very high probability (more than 80%) of a continued price increase, making a decline less likely. The baseline scenario is continued sideways trading within the $41 region. In a bullish scenario, a decisive move above $41.50 could open additional upside. Conversely, if price slips below near-term support at $31.84, a bearish reversal becomes more probable.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees Intel's price action as technically resilient, with bullish trends intact across all major moving averages and institutional interest underpinning longer-term potential despite a recent earnings miss. He notes that while daily momentum is positive on the surface, mixed oscillators and an overheated ADX require caution for near-term upside. Kharitonov remains defensive for now, as conflicting signals and flat forward guidance limit conviction. "My base case is sideways trading near $41 — if $41.50 isn't cleared with volume, I prefer to wait for clearer directional confirmation before acting."

Previously it was noted that Intel experienced a historic surge following Nvidia's major equity investment and new strategic partnership. This led to significant market activity as discussed in the major equity investment and new strategic partnership.

Source of Data: INTC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.