INTC price news: trades above key moving averages — eyes $41.70

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Intel surges 3.47% today to $38.20

Highlights

Intel shares trade at $38.20, above the MA-20 ($36.49), MA-50 ($29.77), and MA-200 ($23.50), indicating a bullish technical structure across all timeframes.
Intel’s Q3 2025 earnings are scheduled for October 23 with revenue projected at $13.14 billion, aided by recent investments from the U.S. government ($8.9 billion), SoftBank ($2 billion), and Nvidia ($5 billion).
Despite strong MACD and buyers driving a daily gain of $1.28 or 3.47%, mixed momentum indicators suggest caution as intraday volatility surges and oscillators diverge.

Major investments and earnings anticipation fuel heightened market focus

Intel is set to report its Q3 2025 earnings on October 23, with revenue projected at $13.14 billion and an expected EPS of $0.01. The company’s recent trajectory has been shaped by major investments, including $8.9 billion from the U.S. government, $2 billion from SoftBank, and $5 billion from Nvidia. These developments and the approaching earnings release are drawing significant market attention.

Mixed momentum signals complicate outlook amid intraday bullish surge

Momentum indicators are mixed, with the D1 MACD signaling strong bullish momentum while the ADX remains elevated but forecasted as Sell, suggesting the trend’s strength may be waning. Despite MACD’s strength, D1 RSI is neutral to bearish at 48.2, and Stoch RSI is low, while CCI stays neutral; however, the daily bullish move of $1.28 or 3.47% shows buyers in control today. There was no significant gap between previous close and today’s open. The current price is near today’s range high, with moderate to high intraday volatility and a pronounced surge toward session highs. BBP is neutral, with oscillators and momentum signals partly diverging. This shows some caution is warranted despite intraday strength.

High probability of upside as technical signals align bullishly

For the next five trading days, the expected price range is $41.70 to $42.27. Based on weekly and daily signals — RSI-w1 bullish, MACD-w1 bullish, but ADX-w1 bearish and MA-50-w1 bullish — the probability of a price increase is very high (more than 80%), while a decrease is much less likely. Baseline scenario: the price consolidates between $36.50 and $38.30. In a bullish case, a sustained move above $38.26 could target the $41.70–$42.27 region. In a bearish case, a drop below the MA-20 support at $36.49 may prompt a deeper retracement toward the Ichimoku Kijun at $32.03.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, sees Intel’s technical picture supported by bullish price structure and recent investment headlines, but flags mixed momentum signals and looming earnings uncertainty. He believes strong inflows from government and institutional players fuel near-term optimism, yet the divergence in oscillators and technicals calls for caution, especially if price loses key supports. Kharitonov maintains a defensive tactical stance, given possible retracement if $36.49 breaks. "Base case remains range-bound — but if $36.49 is lost, I expect further downside pressure to emerge."

Previously it was noted that Intel experienced a historic surge following Nvidia's major equity investment and new strategic partnership. This market activity was discussed in the major equity investment and new strategic partnership.

Source of Data: INTC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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