Yulia Slavina

Jurrien Timmer: Forward contract stays high as Iran conflict drags on

Jurrien Timmer: Forward contract stays high as Iran conflict drags on
Forward contract high as Iran conflict persists

Jurrien Timmer observes that when the conflict in Iran began in late February, it was widely expected to be short-lived. Four months later, he notes that the 12-month forward contract remains near its highs, even as inventories are falling.

Timmer highlights the unexpected persistence of elevated contract prices despite ongoing uncertainty and no clear resolution.

Timmer previously discussed how rising capital expenditures have caused a decline in buybacks and dividends relative to earnings in the current market, as reported in an earlier article. He has also explained that simple valuation metrics, such as CAPE and market cap to GDP, can be misleading without considering factors like earnings and margins, according to a separate report. These observations reflect his ongoing commentary on the complex interplay of market indicators.

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