The tweet was deleted by the author.
But we saved everything 🙂.
Jurrien Timmer discusses how the interplay between earnings, margins, rates, and spreads can affect widely used valuation metrics such as the CAPE ratio and the so-called Buffet Indicator.
Timmer suggests that adjusting the market cap to GDP ratio to account for long-term trends is important to avoid potentially misleading conclusions.
Timmer has previously identified strong earnings, higher margins, and low credit spreads as factors supporting equities even amid elevated oil prices. He has also explained that the Fed Model implies rising bond yields could prompt a repricing of equities. These themes continue to inform his approach to market valuation ratios.