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Bob Elliott, co-founder and CIO at Unlimited, points to signs of weakness in the U.S. labor market based on recent jobs data.
Elliott highlights negative revisions, reduced hiring, low prime-age employment since 2023, and subdued wage growth as factors making it difficult to justify near-term Federal Reserve rate hikes.
Elliott recently flagged a sharp decline in U.S. informal sector jobs, warning this trend could point to additional labor market weakness. He has also cited reduced central bank gold buying as a likely cause of recent softness in the gold market. These observations have contributed to his cautious outlook on current economic conditions.