Jurrien Timmer: S&P 500 nominal price up 113% since October 2022, real gains lag

Jurrien Timmer: S&P 500 nominal price up 113% since October 2022, real gains lag
S&P 500 nominal and real gains diverge

The S&P 500 nominal price index has increased by 113% since its low in October 2022, with total return up 127% and the inflation-adjusted index gaining 93%.

Jurrien Timmer reported that the equal-weighted S&P 500 (SPW) has significantly underperformed in real terms compared to the nominal index.

Timmer previously highlighted a shift toward tighter financial conditions affecting earnings cycles in his article "Jurrien Timmer: Investment clock shifts to tighter financial conditions". In a separate analysis, he projected a potential $300,000 Bitcoin price for 2029 using power law math, as detailed in "Bitcoin price prediction: Power law math suggests bull market targeting $300k in 2029". Both assessments reflect his ongoing monitoring of asset trends.

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