Weiss Ratings markets supercycle forecasting strategy for U.S. investors

Weiss Ratings markets supercycle forecasting strategy for U.S. investors
Supercycle investing insights

Long-cycle economic forecasting is being presented as a tool for investors facing what Weiss Ratings describes as a potentially extreme period of market volatility. The pitch ties historical cycle analysis to trading opportunities across stocks, ETFs, options, currencies, oil and other commodities.

Highlights

  • Weiss Ratings launches Supercycle Investor, using cycle-based forecasting tools it claims previously signaled events like the Roaring 1920s and Great Depression.
  • The new strategy targets U.S. investors seeking profits amid anticipated volatility in stocks, ETFs, currencies like the U.S. dollar and euro, oil, and other commodities.
  • Weiss Ratings emphasizes its internal cycle analysis legacy, highlighting predictions of major stock and gold trends since 1986 to support renewed demand for macro-timing strategies.

Cycle-based strategy and historical claims

As described by Weiss Ratings, the investment approach behind Supercycle Investor relies on forecasting tools that it says previously anticipated the Roaring 1920s, the Great Depression and other major economic turning points.

The text says some of those tools trace back to Russian economist Nikolai Kondratieff in 1925, while others were later developed in the U.S. It also cites work linked to Edward R. Dewey in 1932, when President Herbert Hoover asked him to examine the causes of the Great Depression.

Weiss Ratings says that research led to the conclusion that economic cycles could have signaled the Depression in advance. The firm uses that historical framing to argue that similar cycle indicators are again warning of a severe financial swing ahead.

Investor positioning and market implications

The offering is aimed at investors seeking to profit from anticipated market turbulence through positions in stocks, ETFs and occasional options. Weiss Ratings says the strategy is designed for use beyond equities, extending to the U.S. dollar, the euro, oil and other commodities.

The text highlights the firm's internal research lineage, naming Larry Edelson, who died in 2017, and Sean Brodrick, who it says worked with Edelson for more than a decade. Weiss Ratings says their cycle analysis has helped predict major stock market moves since 1986 and significant trends in gold since 1999.

For the broader investment sector, the message reflects continued demand for macro-timing products that blend historical cycle analysis with tradable market ideas. The emphasis on cross-asset signals suggests the strategy is being positioned as a response to elevated risk across multiple parts of the financial markets.

In our earlier article on the Philippine Social Security System (SSS) defending its equity strategy, we covered how the state pension fund emphasized decades of realized gains and steady dividend income despite recent unrealized losses on some listed stocks. SSS argued that paper losses are not cash losses unless assets are sold below cost, and said its diversified, fundamentals-based approach is intended to manage volatility while sustaining investment income targets.

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