Gemini launches prediction markets nationwide after regulatory approval
Gemini has rolled out its in-house prediction market, Gemini Predictions, across all 50 U.S. states after securing key regulatory clearance.
The platform is offered through its affiliate, Gemini Titan, and allows users to trade on real-world event outcomes with near-instant execution and transparent pricing, reports Cointelegraph.
The launch followed Gemini Titan’s approval as a designated contract market by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) last week. That license authorizes the company to legally operate prediction markets in the United States. Gemini framed the move as an expansion of its regulated product suite rather than a standalone experiment. By launching nationwide, the exchange positions itself among a small group of compliant prediction market providers in the U.S. The approval marks a notable shift from years of regulatory friction surrounding event-based trading.
Prediction markets become a core feature of crypto “super apps”
Gemini Predictions is part of the company’s broader effort to build an all-in-one crypto platform. Alongside spot trading, users can already stake assets, earn rewards, and access tokenized stocks, with prediction markets now added to the mix. This mirrors a wider industry push toward “everything apps,” where exchanges aim to capture more user activity under one roof. Coinbase has been moving in a similar direction, while wallets such as MetaMask and Trust Wallet have also begun integrating prediction features.
Decentralized platforms are following suit, including PancakeSwap, which recently launched a BNB Chain-based prediction product. Venture firms like YZi Labs have also backed multiple prediction market startups, signaling strong investor confidence in the model. The trend suggests prediction markets are becoming a standard feature rather than a niche offering.
U.S. regulatory climate shows early signs of easing
Gemini’s launch comes after years in which prediction markets faced intense scrutiny in the United States. Platforms like Polymarket previously exited or limited U.S. operations following regulatory actions in 2022. Recently, however, Polymarket has begun a phased return to the U.S., starting with waitlisted users.
Other providers, including Kalshi, Robinhood, and Crypto.com, recently received temporary relief after a judge intervened in response to cease-and-desist orders from Connecticut regulators. While uncertainty remains, these developments suggest a more nuanced regulatory approach is emerging. Gemini’s successful licensing underscores the importance of working within existing frameworks. Taken together, the moves indicate that regulated prediction markets are regaining a foothold in the U.S. crypto landscape.
Recently we wrote that Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest increased its exposure to several major crypto-related stocks on Monday, stepping in as prices fell sharply across the sector.
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