Raydium price prediction: Bearish odds for RAY despite brief rally?

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Raydium gains 7.20% to $0.953 today

Highlights

RAY trades at $0.953, above the MA-20 ($0.9371) but below MA-50 ($1.0738) and MA-200 ($2.2429), indicating persistent medium- and long-term bearish trends despite recent gains.
Today's price surged 7.2% ($0.064) to near the session high, but daily momentum indicators (MACD, ADX, BBP) remain bearish and signal dominant seller control.
For the next five trading days, RAY is expected to range between $0.86 and $0.99, with less than a 20% chance of further upside and a higher likelihood of downward movement.

Bearish signals persist as intraday strength diverges from daily momentum

The nearest dynamic resistance for RAY is at the Ichimoku Kijun level ($1.0305), with short-term support just above MA-20, suggesting that sellers still dominate unless the price sustains above these barriers. Momentum signals on the daily frame are mixed: MACD gives a strong sell while ADX reflects persistent but possibly waning selling strength. RSI and CCI display mild oversold conditions, and Stoch RSI is neutral on the day but overbought on intraday timeframes, indicating stretched short-term buying. BBP holds a negative value, confirming sellers continue to dominate, yet the Awesome Oscillator remains neutral and does not strongly support the rally. Today’s move placed the price near the session high, reflecting elevated volatility and strength toward highs; however, the divergence between short-term bullish intraday action and overall bearish daily momentum signals a risk of reversal if follow-through weakens.

Downside risk dominates as sellers press within defined volatility range

For the next five trading days, RAY is expected to fluctuate within a typical volatility band between $0.86 and $0.99. The probability of further upward movement is very low (less than 20%), making a downward scenario much more likely. In the baseline case, RAY may consolidate between short-term support and resistance as sellers maintain pressure. A bullish turn requires a clear break and hold above the $1.03 resistance area, while a bearish scenario would see the price dip below $0.86 and test lower supports.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that Raydium remains under pressure despite today’s short-term bounce above the MA-20. He highlights the dominance of medium- and long-term bearish signals, with sellers retaining control unless a sustained move above $1.03 occurs. The analyst sees consolidation as the most likely outcome, with downside risk prevailing as upward momentum fades. "Unless RAY decisively breaks the $1.03 resistance, I continue to expect lower levels and remain cautious on any bullish setups," he concludes.

Last time, analysts noted that Raydium (RAY) continues to trade well below its key moving averages, with bearish momentum indicators such as MACD, ADX, and a low RSI pointing to sustained downside pressure despite a modest intraday rebound. Resistance is identified near $1.398, while support sits above $1.08, and the asset is expected to consolidate within a limited range amid prevailing negative technical signals.

Source of Data: RAY Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.