ZEC weekly analysis: price down as large holders accumulate $3M during organizational shakeup

ZEC weekly analysis: price down as large holders accumulate $3M during organizational shakeup
Zcash drops 23.99% over the week

Zcash (ZEC) closed the week at $382.60, marking a sharp drop of $120.47 or 23.99% from the previous week. Despite this, ZEC remains above its key weekly moving averages — MA-20 ($330.63), MA-50 ($155.51), and MA-200 ($73.54) — which highlights a persistently bullish medium- and long-term structure, even as recent price action suggests increased downside pressure.

ZEC price prediction
24H 8.19%
$455.05
48H 1.78%
$428.1
7D 7.28%
$451.22
1M -20.59%
$334
3M -2.8%
$408.81
6M 105.19%
$863.01
12M 148.33%
$1044.47
Current price: $ 420.6 -3.65 0.86%
Real-time Data 01:29
Daily range 468.29 Arrow from to Icon 475.75
Weekly range 401.87 Arrow from to Icon 482.20
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Highlights

  • Zcash underwent major organizational disruption as the entire Electric Coin Company core development team resigned on January 7, 2026, due to conflicts with Bootstrap over governance and restructuring.
  • During the transition, on-chain data showed large ZEC holders accumulated over $3 million in tokens, while development activity fell to its lowest since 2021.
  • Despite the upheaval, the Zcash Foundation and Bootstrap confirmed the protocol’s operations and funding structure remain decentralized and stable, with ongoing institutional and Grayscale Zcash Trust support.

Developer exit and whale accumulation reshape sentiment during governance turmoil

Zcash experienced notable organizational upheaval after the full resignation of its core development team at the Electric Coin Company on January 7, 2026, due to internal governance and restructuring conflicts with the nonprofit Bootstrap. This prompted a rapid pivot within the ecosystem, as former developers launched the CashZ wallet initiative to support ongoing development, accompanied by heightened activity in new tooling and wallet migration efforts. Concurrently, on-chain data revealed large ZEC holders accumulated over $3 million worth of tokens during the transition, even as development activity hit its lowest since 2021. The Zcash Foundation and Bootstrap emphasized that the protocol's operations and funding structure remain decentralized and unaffected, with continued support from institutional investors and Grayscale Zcash Trust participation.

ZCash asset chart
ZCash price dynamics. Source: TradingView.

Sellers gain near resistance as momentum signals diverge this week

Weekly technical analysis on the W1 timeframe shows ZEC holding above all major moving averages, underscoring structural bullishness despite this week’s steep decline. The Ichimoku Kijun dynamic support lies at $392.23, now just above market, while short-term resistance is also situated near this level. Both MACD and ADX remain firmly bullish on the weekly chart, but the RSI, while still in buy territory, is now accompanied by a neutral Stochastic RSI and CCI, suggesting a cooling trend. The Awesome Oscillator’s neutral stance and negative BBP confirm sellers gained the upper hand for the week, leading to pronounced volatility and a clear divergence from momentum signals.

Sideways bias expected as volatility dominates next week’s range

For the next 5–7 trading days, a likely range for ZEC is between $344.00 and $420.00, reflecting both prevailing volatility and underlying bullish momentum. Should the price successfully consolidate within this band, further stabilization can be expected. A bullish breakout above $420.00 would bolster the prospect of a recovery towards the previous week’s highs, while a bearish move below $344.00 would expose ZEC to new local lows. The probability still favors sideways action or recovery, given continued weekly bullish signal strength.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Traders Union analyst, sees Zcash as maintaining a robust bullish structure despite this week’s notable 23.99% pullback. He highlights that institutional engagement and decisive on-chain accumulation during the organizational reshuffle demonstrate lasting market confidence. Major weekly indicators and continued support above key moving averages point to resilience and room for further growth in the coming week. Karapetjanc believes any consolidation above $344.00 will foster renewed bullish actions with high probability of recovery momentum. "I view this week’s volatility as a constructive reset — as long as ZEC holds above key support, the opportunity for upside remains strong."

Previously it was noted that Zcash has positioned itself as a benchmark for privacy in the cryptocurrency world, but internal conflicts have emerged that now threaten its development and existence. In particular, the departure of the entire Electric Coin Company team highlighted deep internal conflict that now threatens not only Zcash’s development but its very existence.

This material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our Disclaimer. While we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners.

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