-7.71% for Flow — sellers dominate with no immediate sign of support

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Flow drops 7.71% today to $0.0407

Highlights

Flow’s total value locked (TVL) has surged 500% since its EVM launch, with user accounts now exceeding 40 million amid a network liquidity event.
Despite growing ecosystem activity, FLOW faces high short-term risk due to ongoing liquidity and regulatory headwinds impacting broader sentiment.
FLOW trades below key moving averages (MA-20: $0.0491; MA-50: $0.0699; MA-200: $0.2486) with technical momentum confirming a strong prevailing downtrend and high probability of further decline.

Liquidity surge contrasts with persistent risk amid expanding user base

Flow recently experienced a significant liquidity event amid a wider liquidity crisis. On-chain data reveals the network’s total value locked (TVL) has surged 500% since the EVM launch, and user accounts now exceed 40 million. Despite expanding ecosystem activity, FLOW remains high risk for short-term holders as a result of continued liquidity and regulatory headwinds.

Entrenched downtrend as indicators and resistance confirm seller grip

The price is firmly below all key moving averages — MA-20 ($0.0491), MA-50 ($0.0699), and MA-200 ($0.2486) — highlighting entrenched bearish momentum in the short, medium, and long term. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $0.0570 is the closest dynamic resistance, while no immediate dynamic support is identified. Both MACD and ADX on the daily chart confirm a robust prevailing downtrend. RSI sits at 32.7, Stochastic RSI is at an overbought reading of 90.4 but oversold on shorter timeframes, and CCI reads –83.7 (oversold intraday), indicating continued underlying weakness with some volatility. Bull/Bear Power is negative at –0.0016, confirming intraday seller dominance. Price remains near the session low within the $0.0411–$0.0425 range, consistent with moderate to high intraday volatility and persistent bearish momentum.

Further downside risk favored as volatility and resistance cap upside

Flow is expected to trade within a typical volatility band of $0.0365 to $0.0445 over the next five trading days. The probability of upward price movement remains very low (less than 20%), with further declines favored in the current environment. The base case suggests FLOW may consolidate sideways between local support and resistance. A bullish reversal would require a decisive move above $0.0570, while a breakdown below $0.0365 could open the door for additional downside.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, believes Flow’s recent network growth and user expansion signal solid long-term fundamentals, despite clear short-term weakness. He sees macro-level liquidity headwinds and regulatory risks keeping the price under pressure for now. The analyst remains optimistic about Flow’s innovation and community engagement. But he notes that only a break above $0.0570 will confirm a shift in sentiment. "If Flow can leverage its strong adoption and weather current volatility, I expect renewed upward momentum in the coming months."

Last time, analysts noted that Flow is trading well below its major moving averages, with strong bearish momentum confirmed by MACD and ADX, while daily RSI and other indicators flag persistent oversold conditions and sellers’ dominance across all timeframes. Immediate resistance is identified at the Ichimoku Kijun ($0.0575) and key support is near the $0.0400 round level, with the asset projected to remain depressed in a narrow range amid elevated short-term risk and minimal rebound prospects.

Source of Data: FLOW Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.