Ongoing darknet adoption and technical divergence

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Monero jumps 7.38% to $336.96 today

Highlights

Monero's on-chain transaction volumes remain above early 2020 levels, showing resilience despite delistings from major exchanges.
Specialized demand for Monero endures, with nearly 48% of newly launched darknet markets in 2025 supporting Monero exclusively and ongoing efforts to enhance network anonymity.
XMR trades at $336.96, above its 20-day MA but below 50-day and 200-day averages; immediate resistance stands at $389.07, with consolidation likely between $303 and $362.

Specialized demand holds as privacy and darknet adoption counter delistings

Monero's on-chain transaction volumes remain above early 2020 levels despite the asset being delisted from some major exchanges. Its privacy features, such as ring signatures and stealth addresses, continue to support specialized demand within the privacy-focused cryptocurrency sector. Additionally, nearly 48% of darknet markets launched in 2025 supported Monero exclusively, while ongoing network-layer work aims to further strengthen its anonymity capabilities.

Oscillator divergence emerges as intraday gains challenge bearish momentum

Momentum signals for XMR on the daily chart are mixed: the MACD gives a Strong Sell, while the ADX indicates a weak trend. The Relative Strength Index stands subdued at 39.48, the Stochastic RSI flashes a Strong Buy, and the CCI is mildly oversold. Bull/Bear Power shows sellers remain in control, and price trades near the top of today's volatile $321–$337.22 range. There is a clear divergence between oscillators and momentum indicators, as intraday gains are not fully confirmed by underlying trend signals.

Consolidation likely as resistance capping upside and trend signals weaken

Over the next five trading days, XMR is expected to fluctuate within a typical volatility band of $303–$362 around current levels. Weekly indicators signal a low probability of a sustained upward move, favoring near-term consolidation in this range. A bullish scenario would require a breakout above resistance at $389, while a bearish outcome could see the price retesting the $300 area if downside momentum builds.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees Monero as resilient despite regulatory headwinds and recent exchange delistings. He believes strong on-chain demand and adoption within darknet markets continue to support its unique value proposition. Macro and sentiment factors remain constructive, as Monero's privacy features attract a stable user base even under market pressure. Karapetjanc emphasizes that further upside depends on clearing resistance at $389. "With strong specialized demand and ongoing network upgrades, I remain optimistic on XMR's medium-term prospects if it can reclaim key technical levels."

Previously it was reported that Monero remains under pronounced bearish pressure, trading below key weekly moving averages with technical indicators—such as the MACD and RSI—confirming ongoing selling momentum and oversold market conditions. The asset is expected to stay rangebound beneath major resistance, with further downside or consolidation favored unless a break above $355 occurs; support rests just above $300, while a move below $290 could accelerate losses.

Source of Data: XMR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.