Stellar hovers near $0.1534 with weak RSI and bearish MACD confirming negative sentiment

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Stellar drops 0.19% this week

Highlights

XLM is trading at $0.1534, below the MA-20 ($0.1605), MA-50 ($0.1840), and MA-200 ($0.2776), indicating sustained bearish momentum across all timeframes.
Daily indicators like MACD, ADX, and RSI (39.3) confirm ongoing weakness, with the price dropping 4.42% and intraday trading near the session's low.
XLM is likely to fluctuate between $0.140 and $0.165 over the next five days, with a probability under 20% for a significant upside breakout.

Technical weakness persists as momentum signals support sustained downside this week

On the weekly timeframe, XLM continues to exhibit weakness as it remains under key moving averages. The Ichimoku Kijun at $0.1610 serves as the nearest dynamic resistance, while support is currently observed just above $0.1530. Weekly RSI sits in negative territory but stops short of signaling extreme oversold conditions. Other W1 momentum indicators, including the MACD and ADX, confirm sustained bearish sentiment, with no reversal patterns identified.

Limited breakout risk as weekly forecast sees XLM capped in narrow range

Based on weekly indicators, XLM is likely to trade between $0.140 and $0.165 over the next five to seven trading days. The probability of a decisive upward move is low, with less than a 20% chance of a breakout above $0.1610. If XLM falls below $0.150, a potential retest of the $0.140 level becomes likely, while any rally would require a sustained close above resistance to shift the outlook.

Jainam Mehta, market strategist, sees XLM maintaining a decisively bearish posture this week, with price stuck below all major moving averages and momentum indicators still in negative territory. He notes that the $0.1610 Ichimoku Kijun is a pivotal resistance level, while support at $0.1530 is fragile. Mehta remains capital-protective, with little conviction for a recovery unless XLM breaks above resistance. "Until XLM closes above $0.1610, I see heightened risk of further downside — my focus is on protecting capital within the $0.140–$0.165 range this week."

Last time, analysts noted that Stellar (XLM) is stabilizing just above short-term support but remains pressured by bearish medium- and long-term trends, as indicated by its position below key moving averages and persistent negative momentum signals from MACD, ADX, and RSI. The outlook remains cautious, with volatility elevated and technicals suggesting continued sideways trading within a defined range, unless a break of immediate support or resistance levels occurs.

Source of Data: XLM Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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