HBAR edges lower as price remains below all major moving averages: weekly outlook

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Hedera slips 2.77% this week

Highlights

HBAR remains under bearish pressure, trading below major moving averages and encountering strong resistance above current levels.
Momentum indicators confirm persistent selling dominance, with the asset nearing oversold territory but no signs of reversal emerging.
Projected price range for the week is $0.0836–$0.0933, with further downside probable unless a close above $0.093 occurs.

Ecosystem expansion and partnerships support sentiment despite price drop

Hedera announced that Accenture has joined its governing Council, enhancing its role as an enterprise-focused distributed ledger network. The network's ecosystem expanded further with the recent conclusion of the 2025 Hedera Africa Hackathon, which drew over 13,000 developers and distributed a $1 million prize pool. The formation of an Investment Committee by The Hashgraph Association and new partnerships, including with the Nairobi Securities Exchange, also highlight ongoing strategic growth.

Bearish technicals persist as HBAR closes week at multi-month lows

Weekly technical indicators for HBAR reinforce a bearish outlook as the price remains firmly below all major weekly moving averages (MA-20, MA-50, MA-200). Strong selling pressure is confirmed by negative MACD (Strong Sell), a low RSI at 34.91, a bearish Commodity Channel Index (–72.32), and Stochastic RSI also signaling sell. Weekly volatility reached 7.24%, with the asset closing at weekly lows. Bear and Bull Power indicators confirm sellers are in control, and no bullish divergence is evident in oscillators.

Range-bound bias for coming week as upside signals remain weak

For the next 7 days, HBAR is expected to trade within a $0.0836 to $0.0933 range. Weekly indicators suggest a high likelihood of continued consolidation or further decline, with under 20% probability of a sustained upward move as no key indicators provide a buy signal. The base scenario is for HBAR to remain range-bound between $0.084 and $0.093, while a weekly close above $0.093 would indicate a potential bullish reversal. Conversely, a break below $0.084 may open the path for a deeper pullback toward lower support levels.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, notes that despite HBAR's retreat below major weekly moving averages this week, several positive developments point toward building enterprise adoption. He highlights Accenture's entry into Hedera’s Council and multiple high-profile partnerships as a strong foundation for future growth. The current trading zone between $0.084 and $0.093 reflects that sellers still dominate, but momentum from record hackathon participation and strategic alliances suggests sentiment could shift rapidly. Karapetjanc believes participants should closely watch for a close above $0.093, which would mark an early signal for bullish recovery. "HBAR's ecosystem expansion this week lays the groundwork for a renewed uptrend — I see this consolidation phase as a valuable opportunity ahead of the next move."

Previously, it was reported that Fitch affirmed the strength of New Jersey Infrastructure Bank's environmental infrastructure bonds based on the program's resilient structure and high-quality loan pool. While that review focused on credit stability in traditional assets, the current technical landscape for Hedera signals a consolidation phase with downside risk, making a sustained move above $0.093 a key indicator to watch for signs of a potential bullish reversal.

Source of Data: HBAR Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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