Aptos gains 4.43% as intraday buyers take control above immediate support

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Aptos rises 4.43% today to $0.66

Highlights

Aptos increased circulating supply with a scheduled token unlock for early investors and team members, raising near-term selling pressure.
Key DeFi projects migrated from Aptos to Solana and Ethereum Layer 2, reducing on-chain activity and dampening APT token utility.
Intraday momentum is strongly bullish with APT/USD expected to trade between $0.5680 and $0.6795 over the next 2–3 days.

Increased supply and migration drain demand after token unlock

Aptos carried out a scheduled token unlock for initial investors and team members, significantly increasing the circulating supply and creating a structural imbalance between supply and demand. This surge in available tokens can trigger selling pressure and affect buying interest in the short term. Additionally, the migration of leading DeFi protocols away from the Aptos blockchain to established platforms such as Solana and Ethereum Layer 2 has reduced on-chain activity and overall utility, further weighing on demand for APT tokens.

Buying momentum intensifies as price finds support above key levels

On the h1 chart, APT is trading above both the MA-20 and MA-50, while on the daily timeframe, it remains below the MA-200. The Ichimoku Kijun level at $0.6390 is acting as immediate support. Among momentum indicators, MACD is in strong buy mode, and both RSI and Stoch RSI register strong buying pressure, while ADX reflects a neutral trend. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) and Awesome Oscillator (AO) are also neutral, and intraday BBP signals dominant buyer activity. Today’s price action is accompanied by high volatility and a modest positive gap.

Consolidation expected as volatility bands define breakout risks

Over the next 2–3 days, the projected price range for APT is $0.5680 to $0.6795, representing a typical volatility band relative to current levels. The baseline scenario is for APT to consolidate within this corridor. A bullish outcome could see buyers drive a breakout above the upper range, while a bearish move would be triggered by a loss of support with a break below $0.6390.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, Analyst at Traders Union, sees Aptos as fundamentally resilient despite increased volatility and structural headwinds. He highlights that recent token unlocks and DeFi protocol exits have pressured demand, yet technical momentum remains positive in the short term. Karapetjanc believes that consolidation above support could trigger renewed interest. "Momentum and sentiment are gradually recovering, and if APT holds above key levels, I expect further upside in the coming days."

Earlier, analysts noted that Aptos remained in a sustained bearish trend amid persistent selling pressure and weak momentum. The latest market developments introduce new risks from increasing token supply and waning DeFi activity, making the $0.6390 support level pivotal for short-term direction.

Source of Data: APT Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.