XRP price prediction: Can $1.0766 support hold as XRP falls on weak fee data?

Traders Union
All News
Crypto
XRP slides 1.81% today to $1.08

Highlights

Ripple secured a Luxembourg license to provide stablecoin payment systems in Europe, enhancing institutional adoption opportunities for XRP and related assets.
Integration of XRPL Lending Protocol and SAV will enable expanded on-chain lending with USDC, RLUSD, and XRP for institutional clients.
XRP trades in a sideways range between $1.0428 and $1.1107, with mixed momentum signals and balanced upside/downside probabilities for the next session.

Ecosystem revenue disconnect as institutional lending and licensing expand

Plans to integrate the XRPL Lending Protocol and SAV were announced by a protocol providing institutional lending services with USDC, RLUSD, and XRP, expanding on-chain lending capabilities according to U.Today. Ripple also obtained a special license from Luxembourg’s financial regulator that allows it to offer stablecoin payment systems to European firms, as reported by Bitget, which could facilitate institutional partnerships within the region. Separately, Benzinga noted that despite XRP Ledger’s substantial $70 billion market capitalization, its network generated less than $120,000 in total fees for the year, underscoring a disconnect between ecosystem revenue and valuation.

Mixed momentum pressures as key moving averages contain price

On the hourly chart, XRP trades above the MA-20 at $1.0731 but remains capped below the MA-50 at $1.0922 and the daily MA-200 at $1.5295. The Ichimoku Kijun provides immediate support at $1.0766. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicates strong sell momentum, and the Average Directional Index (ADX) suggests sustained selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 52.2, which is in buy territory, with the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) also supporting a buy bias, while Stochastic RSI signals overbought conditions, highlighting mixed oscillator signals. Bull/Bear Power shows intraday buying dominance, and the Awesome Oscillator remains neutral.

Lack of trend conviction as balanced scenarios drive sideways outlook

For the next trading day, XRP is expected to trade within a range of $1.0428 to $1.1107, matching recent volatility patterns. The probability of an upward or downward move is equally balanced at 50%, reflecting a lack of clear trend from current positioning. The baseline scenario is for continued sideways action, while a decisive break above immediate resistance could trigger a bullish extension and a drop below $1.0766 support may prompt renewed selling.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees limited conviction for sustained upside in XRP. He notes positive institutional developments, but also stresses the mismatch between on-chain revenue and the token’s high valuation. Mixed technical signals and weak network fundamentals temper the outlook. "Despite infrastructure gains, I remain cautious — until price clears $1.0922 and fundamental demand improves, there’s no strong case for a trend reversal."

Earlier, analysts noted that persistent bearish momentum and strong selling pressure kept XRP constrained beneath key technical barriers. With recent developments in institutional lending protocols and regulatory approvals now unfolding, traders should watch for a decisive move above immediate resistance or below support to determine the next directional break.

Source of Data: XRP Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.