Downside persists? Why Rocket Pool price prediction faces more risk below resistance

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Rocket Pool Slides 1.77% Today

Highlights

Rocket Pool (RPL) trades at $6.09, remains below its MA-20 ($6.4705) and MA-50 ($7.1484), but above MA-200 ($5.7186), reflecting persistent short-term weakness against longer-term support.
Rocket Pool released Smart Node v1.17.2, introducing upgrades aimed at improved node performance and network stability, potentially supporting further adoption and operational reliability.
Technical indicators including Ichimoku Kijun ($6.785), MACD, and oscillators signal sustained bearish pressure, with RPL likely to trade sideways in a narrow $5.13–$5.45 range and under 20% chance of an upward breakout.

Operational upgrades bolster reliability as forecasts take back seat

A recent update to Rocket Pool’s Smart Node v1.17.2 introduces key client upgrades, aiming to improve node performance and network stability for operators. This technical enhancement may support adoption and operational reliability. Forecasts for RPL’s price in 2025 point to moderate optimism, though these projections play a less immediate role compared to the software upgrade.

Bearish momentum prevails as downside risk and strong trend persist

Technically, RPL faces continued downside risk with price action suppressed below the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, while support remains near the long-term MA-200 at $5.7186. The Ichimoku Kijun line at $6.785 presents the nearest dynamic resistance. MACD and Awesome Oscillator confirm bearish pressure, with ADX suggesting strong trend persistence. Oscillators such as RSI, Stoch RSI, and CCI indicate mild oversold conditions, warranting some caution for further downside movement. The price is trading toward the lower end of today’s intraday range ($6.01–$6.25), in line with moderate volatility and renewed selling activity since the open.

Limited upside potential as narrow trading band and risk intensify

Looking ahead, RPL is likely to trade sideways in a narrow band, with the projected range for the next five days set between $5.13 and $5.45. The odds of an upward breakout remain low at less than 20%, given current indicator readings. A sustained move above $6.785 would be required to shift sentiment bullish, but this appears unlikely. Downside risk intensifies if $5.72 fails as support, setting up a test of the lower projected range.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, views the ongoing technical pressure on Rocket Pool (RPL) as a short-term setback set against underlying long-term support. He believes that the recent Smart Node software upgrade is a positive factor for operational stability and sentiment, providing a constructive backdrop despite bearish momentum. While the odds of a near-term breakout above $6.785 are currently slim, Karapetjanc notes that the robust MA-200 support and network updates could fuel renewed optimism if market conditions improve. "In my view, the combination of fundamental upgrades and solid long-term support makes RPL a candidate for recovery should sentiment in the sector turn more favorable," he concludes.

Previously, it was noted that bearish momentum persists as daily indicators align with downside pressure for Rocket Pool. The report also emphasized that limited buy signals and ongoing weak support defined the short-term technical outlook.

Source of Data: RPL Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.