Tokenomics overhaul and treasury drop — VeChain price prediction: VET slips 22%

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VeChain drops 22.00% today

Highlights

VeChain (VET) plunged 22.00% to $0.01737, trading far below MA-20, MA-50, and MA-200, reflecting strong seller dominance and high volatility.
VeChain revised its tokenomics to generate VTHO solely via staking and ecosystem activities, while its treasury dropped 23.5% in Q2 2025 to $167 million.
With only one of four weekly signals favoring upside, VET risks further declines below $0.01755, with oversold indicators suggesting volatile swings within $0.01755–$0.01840.

Tokenomics overhaul and treasury decline as VET seeks sustainability

VeChain has revised its tokenomics to generate VTHO tokens only through staking and ecosystem activities, aiming to reduce inflation and foster greater community engagement. The project's treasury decreased 23.5% in the second quarter of 2025 to $167 million, a move seen as part of ongoing efforts to create a more sustainable token economy. Broader crypto market conditions and recent protocol upgrades are contributing secondary support to VET’s exchange rate.

Oversold momentum builds as bearish technical signals intensify

Technical analysis shows VET remains clearly under downward pressure, with the price lagging major moving averages. Dynamic support is near the Ichimoku Kijun at $0.01825, while resistance forms around the MA-20 and Kijun. Momentum signals are mixed — MACD and RSI signal ongoing downside, while ADX shows the trend is strengthening. Oversold readings on RSI, Stoch RSI, and CCI point to seller exhaustion, but the BBP and Awesome Oscillator highlight control by bears and reinforce the downward trend.

Downside risk prevails as consolidation range faces breakout threats

For the upcoming week, the trading range is projected between $0.01755 and $0.01840, with an average near $0.01798. With only one of four weekly directional signals favoring upside, the risk of further declines is much higher than a rebound. VET is likely to consolidate in a sideways band between $0.01755 support and $0.01825 resistance, with oversold conditions possibly fueling sharp swings in either direction. A move below $0.01755 could trigger losses toward $0.015, while a breakout above resistance may open the way to $0.01840.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees VeChain (VET) firmly under technical and sentimental pressure after a 22.00% drop and a decisive loss of key moving averages. He notes that while revised tokenomics and treasury reductions are aimed at sustainability, the prevailing trend remains bearish, with oversold readings yet to yield meaningful buyer response. Consolidation between $0.01755 and $0.01825 seems probable in the near term, but downside risks outweigh potential rebounds. "With sellers still in control and no clear catalyst for reversal, I prefer to stay cautious until VET can reclaim the $0.01825 resistance with conviction."

Previously it was noted that VeChain was experiencing strong bearish momentum, with technical indicators supporting further downside. Last time, we reported that the token remained in a tight consolidation phase in the absence of fresh catalysts and market activity driven by broader sentiment.

Source of Data: VET Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.