FLOW news live: Strong trend strength signals downside risk if $0.261 support fails

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Flow rises 7.02% today to $0.305

Highlights

Flow (FLOW) trades at $0.305—up 7.02% today—yet remains below its 20-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages, highlighting persistent weakness.
Morgan Stanley’s plan to lift crypto fund restrictions for wealthy clients on October 15, 2025 fuels optimism for potential institutional inflows into FLOW.
Technical indicators, including bearish MACD and low RSI/CCI, project FLOW trading between $0.2900 and $0.2940 this week with sub-20% chances for upside.

Institutional access and ETF volatility reshape crypto sentiment

Market sentiment for FLOW is shaped by Morgan Stanley’s move to lift restrictions on wealthy clients’ access to crypto funds beginning October 15, 2025, a step that may pave the way for greater institutional interest in the asset. Secondary factors influencing the broader crypto environment include major ETF volatility and shifting capital flows, seen in both outsized liquidations and unexpected inflows at Fidelity. Additional headwinds come from ongoing geopolitical and regulatory challenges, such as trade tensions and new regional virtual asset strategies.

Bearish momentum confirmed as technical resistance limits upside

Technically, FLOW is showing persistent bearish momentum, as prices remain well under key moving averages across short, medium, and long-term timeframes. The closest dynamic support sits at the Ichimoku Kijun ($0.261), while resistance forms around the MA-20 ($0.3415). The ADX signals strong trend strength, and both daily and weekly MACD are bearish; RSI and CCI remain in the low-to-mid 30s, not yet in clear oversold territory. Stoch RSI is moderately bullish, though overbought periods appear intraday, and the BBP is neutral, with the Awesome Oscillator confirming the overall downtrend.

Limited upside expected as momentum favors further consolidation

In the coming week, FLOW is expected to trade between $0.2900 and $0.2940, with the probability of price increases staying below 20%. Baseline expectations point to continued sideways movement near recent lows, as momentum indicators overwhelmingly favor sellers. Only a convincing breakout above $0.3415 would signal a bullish shift, while a drop below $0.261 could invite renewed selling pressure and further decline.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees FLOW’s latest recovery as a positive sign but notes the asset remains structurally weak below key averages and in a seller-dominated environment. He believes Morgan Stanley’s decision to open crypto fund access for clients is a constructive longer-term sentiment driver, even if near-term technicals are under pressure. As regulatory shifts and institutional moves gather pace, Karapetjanc encourages traders to keep FLOW on their watchlist for possible rotation. "While momentum is still on the side of sellers, I see growing potential for a reversal if institutional interest materializes and FLOW can break above $0.3415."

Previously it was noted that FLOW traded well below key moving averages, indicating persistent bearish pressure with less than a 20% chance of a rebound in the near term. Technical indicators and market events further highlighted ongoing risk and limited prospects for recovery.

Source of Data: FLOW Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.