Dogecoin holds near $0.162 as buyers fight heavy outflows and relentless trendline pressure
Dogecoin traded around $0.162 on Thursday, attempting to hold a fragile base after yet another rejection from the descending trendline that has capped every rally since late September. The broader structure remains bearish, with every bounce fading faster than the last as sellers continue to dominate price action.
Highlights
- Dogecoin trades near $0.162 after another failed breakout attempt.
- Exchange outflows reach $10.5 million in 24 hours, showing selling intent.
- Long/short ratios rise, but dip buying remains weak and unsupported.
The daily chart paints a clear picture of consistent pressure. DOGE price remains below all major EMA’s, which are now stacked between $0.18 and $0.22. This creates a ceiling that compresses each short-term rally into the same descending trendline. The Parabolic SAR continues to print above the candles, confirming that trend momentum still favors sellers.

DOGE price dynamics (Source: TradingView)
Below price, the most important area remains the $0.15–$0.14 liquidity zone. This region has historically attracted buying support, but this time market conditions are different. Flows data shows that investors are not accumulating. According to Coinglass, Dogecoin recorded $10.5 million in net outflows in the past 24 hours, continuing a multi-week streak of red prints. When tokens move onto exchanges rather than off, it signals that holders are preparing to sell, not hold.
Derivatives point to fading conviction
Open interest has fallen to $1.43 billion, suggesting traders are closing positions rather than opening new ones. A falling open interest alongside weak price performance reflects position unwinding, not active speculation. At the same time, options volume has dropped 41.66%, indicating reduced interest from speculative traders.
Interestingly, long/short ratios on major exchanges have climbed. Binance accounts show 2.46 longs per short, OKX shows 3.36, and even top traders hold 2.84 longs per short. This suggests retail traders are attempting to buy dips, but without positive spot flows or a break above the descending trendline, these positions remain exposed.
Momentum indicators still leave room for further downside. The RSI remains between 33 and 40, far from oversold, showing sellers maintain control. Until a divergence forms or RSI approaches exhaustion levels, the probability of continued drift lower remains high.
Key levels define the next move
Immediate resistance sits at $0.18, the first level bulls must reclaim to challenge trend structure. A close above that mark would be the first sign of strength. The next barrier sits at $0.22, where the 200-day EMA converges with the descending trendline. That zone marks the threshold between recovery and continuation of the downtrend.
Support lies between $0.15 and $0.14. If this floor breaks, price could slide toward $0.12, a level not tested since the early summer correction.
Earlier analysis emphasized that Dogecoin needed to reclaim $0.18 and flip the short-term moving averages to reset the trend. That remains the core condition for any reversal. Without improvement in spot flows or confirmation from derivatives positioning, each rally attempt is likely to fade quickly.
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