IOTA drops 13.53%, after sellers dominate amid oversold signals and high volatility

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IOTA slides 13.53% today on selling

Highlights

The IOTA Foundation and AfCFTA launched the ADAPT program to enable seamless cross-border payments and digitized trade documents across Africa.
IOTA advanced its infrastructure with the Chrysalis (IOTA 1.5) upgrade and introduced the Stardust tokenization framework for native asset creation and ecosystem governance.
Ongoing time-locked token allocations, airdrops, and focus on regulatory and custody integrations continue to shape the evolution of the IOTA ecosystem.

Infrastructure upgrades and partnerships drive IOTA’s expansion strategy

The IOTA Foundation has partnered with the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) to launch an initiative aimed at supporting seamless, interoperable cross-border payments and digitized trade documents through the ADAPT program. The project has advanced its core infrastructure with the Chrysalis (IOTA 1.5) upgrade and introduced the Stardust tokenization framework, enabling native asset creation and enhancing ecosystem governance. Ongoing time-locked token allocations, airdrops, and a focus on regulatory and custody integrations continue to shape IOTA’s evolution.

Oversold technicals and elevated volatility reinforce bearish momentum

Momentum indicators reinforce the bearish tone, with both MACD and ADX signaling sell on the daily timeframe. Oscillators such as RSI (35.8), CCI (oversold at -124.6), and Stoch RSI (deeply oversold at 0.0) all highlight a strongly oversold condition, but BBP also confirms seller dominance. The Awesome Oscillator remains negative, adding to the selling bias. IOTA fell 13.53% on the session, with no significant gap between the previous close ($0.1256) and today’s open ($0.1198). The current price is near today’s low ($0.1052) in a range marked by high volatility and pronounced pressure following the open, with no signs yet of a reversal.

Downside risk elevated as sellers maintain short-term control

For the coming five days, we expect IOTA to trade between $0.1006 and $0.1184, as the current price sits near the middle of this adjusted weekly range. The probability of further declines is very high (more than 80%), making upward movement less likely. The baseline scenario sees the price moving sideways in a low-to-mid $0.10 range. A bullish scenario requires a breakout above $0.1184 and sustained trade above the Kijun resistance. A bearish breakdown could drive the price below $0.105, exposing further weakness toward the $0.10 level. Overall, sellers remain firmly in control pending a momentum shift.

Anton Kharitonov, analyst at Traders Union, sees IOTA pressured by persistent negative momentum as price trades well below key moving averages. He notes that even with recent progress in infrastructure and partnerships, technical indicators overwhelmingly confirm a bearish setup. Downside risk remains dominant while the price holds under the $0.1184 resistance. "With sellers in control and no reversal signal in sight, I remain defensive until a sustained break above $0.1184 occurs."

Previously it was noted that technical indicators showed mixed momentum signals, reflecting ongoing selling pressure over medium and long-term periods. The baseline scenario anticipated sideways consolidation, with a low probability of further upside on the horizon.

Source of Data: IOTA Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.