Bitcoin price prediction: BTC rebound stalls below $88k despite ETF inflows returning

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Sholanke Dele

24.11.2025

Bitcoin price prediction: BTC rebound stalls below $88k despite ETF inflows returning — BTC ETF inflows hit $238 million

Bitcoin has stalled in a tight range today between $86,000 and $88,000 during the European session, after staging a mild weekend bounce from a seven-month low at $80,500. The pause comes after four straight weeks of decline that knocked the asset 35% off its all-time high of $126,000.

- Bitcoin RSI on 4-hour chart flips neutral as price stalls below $88,000

- BTC ETF inflows hit $238 million after four weeks of outflows

- Bitcoin funding rate jumps from 4% to 6% as long trades rebuild slowly

Last week’s drop to sub-$81,000 territory coincided with heavy outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs. The funds saw a combined $1.22 billion in net redemptions, extending their four-week cumulative outflows to $4.34 billion. BlackRock’s IBIT alone accounted for $1.09 billion, its second-highest weekly outflow ever. This consistent withdrawal of institutional funds amplified the bearish momentum and mirrored the broader selling pressure in Bitcoin markets.

Bitcoin price dynamics (Oct - Nov 2025). Source: Tradingview

However, the oversold condition revealed by the daily RSI falling to 23 last week helped trigger a technical rebound over the weekend. Bitcoin bounced over 8% from the lows and managed to hold above $86,000 since the start of today’s session. The RSI on the 4-hour chart now reads near 50, indicating a neutral posture in the short term and matching the price consolidation seen today.

Bitcoin funding rates rise 6% as traders rebuild long positions

Some recovery signals are emerging in the derivatives market. Futures funding rates have picked up from 4% to 6%, hinting that top traders are slowly building long positions. Moreover, spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $238 million in net inflows during the weekend. These fresh inflows suggest a subtle return of investor appetite, possibly due to the perceived bargain levels after the drawdown.

Technically, Bitcoin’s path in the short term will depend on whether it breaks out of this consolidation range. A move above $88,000 would open the door for a retest of $90,000, followed by a push toward the psychological $100,000 zone. However, the 50 EMA on the 4-hour chart at $89,000 poses an immediate ceiling.

Failure to hold the 20 EMA support could flip the 4-hour RSI back below 50 and revive the broader downtrend. A bearish breakdown would then increase the probability of a fresh test of $80,000 in the sessions ahead.

We discussed how Bitcoin slid near $85,000 after the NFP report crushed rate-cut hopes. Sellers dominated order flow for five sessions as trading volumes climbed each day.

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