CAD/JPY holds near ¥112.1 resistance as intraday buyer momentum slows
Canadian Dollar vs Yen (CAD/JPY) is trading at ¥111.65, recording a modest 0.52% daily gain. The pair sits above its key short-term moving average but remains below medium- and long-term averages.
Highlights
- CAD/JPY shows mild short-term strength but remains below key longer-term moving averages, maintaining a broadly bearish structure.
- Technical indicators are mixed, as momentum tools signal further downside but intraday price action and buyer strength point to consolidation.
- For the next 2 to 3 sessions, CAD/JPY is expected to trade between ¥110.68 and ¥112.62, with downside risk prevailing.
Mixed momentum signals as intraday buyers face bearish pressure
CAD/JPY is trading above the MA-20 at ¥111.51 but remains capped below both the MA-50 at ¥112.1 and the MA-200 at ¥114.82. The Ichimoku Kijun is at ¥111.39 and acts as immediate support. Momentum indicators offer a mixed picture: MACD and ADX continue to signal sell, indicating ongoing bearish momentum, while RSI at 51.38 and CCI both register buy signals, and Stochastic RSI points to overbought conditions. Bull/Bear Power shows intraday buyer dominance, although overall oscillator signals are divergent, highlighting uncertainty in market conviction.
Downside scenario favored as rangebound trading persists
Over the next 2 to 3 sessions, CAD/JPY is likely to consolidate within a typical volatility band between ¥110.68 and ¥112.62. The probability of an upside breakout is low at just 24%, making a downward move the more probable near-term outcome. Unless resistance is breached, the base case scenario remains rangebound trading, with any renewed selling pressure potentially pushing the pair below immediate support.
Earlier, analysts noted that CAD/JPY was under persistent bearish pressure, with technical signals favoring continued weakness. The current analysis adds a note of caution by highlighting mixed momentum signals, suggesting traders should watch for renewed selling below ¥111.39 as the next potential catalyst for directional movement.