Selling pressure pushes Barclays lower in today trading

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Barclays slides 2.00% today to $476.80

Highlights

Barclays reported 2025 profit before tax of £9.1 billion and an 11.3% return on tangible equity, announcing a £1 billion share buyback in Q1 2026.
The bank maintained a robust CET1 ratio of 14.3%, resolved an FCA investigation with a £39 million payment, and advanced digital transformation with AI for fraud analytics.
Barclays shares (GBX 476.80) trade below MA-20 but above MA-50 (GBX 468.30), with strong medium-term bullish structure and resistance at GBX 483.73.

Shareholder returns rise on profit rebound and buyback announcement

Barclays reported strong financial results for 2025, with profit before tax rising to £9.1 billion and a return on tangible equity of 11.3%. The company disclosed plans for a £1 billion share buyback starting in the first quarter of 2026 alongside an annual dividend of 5.6p per ordinary share, contributing to total capital distributions of £3.7 billion in 2025. Barclays maintained a robust capital position with a CET1 ratio of 14.3% and announced the resolution of a Financial Conduct Authority investigation by paying £39 million. The group also highlighted continued progress in efficiency and digital transformation initiatives, including AI use for fraud detection and analytics.

Anton Kharitonov, expert at Traders Union, notes that BARC is currently trading with heightened volatility and sits below its short-term average, reflecting ongoing downside risk. He sees the technical signals as contradictory, with a strong MACD clashing against a weak ADX and neutral-to-bearish oscillators. Kharitonov points out that despite a bullish long-term trend, sellers are reclaiming momentum, especially as price action clusters near key support at the MA-50. He warns that positive profit and buyback news is already priced in and market sentiment remains fragile, particularly following the FCA investigation resolution. "Until BARC decisively clears GBX 484.00 or reclaims bullish momentum, I see further downside possible and recommend a defensive stance for now."

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, highlights Barclays’ robust fundamentals and capital discipline. He believes the strong 2025 results, a generous buyback plan, and a high CET1 ratio reinforce investor confidence and set a solid stage for growth. Karapetjanc notes that the bullish structure remains intact, with room for further upside if price action recovers above GBX 483.73. He emphasizes opportunities from digital transformation initiatives and improving efficiency. "With healthy distributions and a strong capital base, I expect BARC to outperform as upward momentum resumes."

Parshwa Turakhiya, analyst, sees BARC trading in a volatile, sentiment-driven range. He observes mixed momentum, with bulls and bears actively contesting direction, as the price tests key technical supports. Turakhiya identifies a near-term opportunity in the expected price corridor between GBX 460.80 and GBX 472.25, where quick trades could exploit the consolidation zone. "If buyers reclaim control above GBX 484.00, I expect a swift reversal; otherwise, watch for sharp moves as volatility remains elevated."

Momentum shifts mixed as selling intensifies near daily lows

Momentum signals for BARC are mixed: the daily MACD suggests a strong upward bias, while the ADX points to a weak trend with a sell outlook. RSI remains above 50, indicating lingering bullish momentum, but the Stoch RSI and CCI are largely neutral to bearish, with the Bull/Bear Power reflecting an overbought state. The nearest dynamic resistance is at the Ichimoku kijun (GBX 483.73), and immediate support is provided by the MA-50 just under the current level. Early trading action saw a gap up, but sustained selling has driven the price near its daily low, highlighting high volatility and intraday downside pressure.

Previously it was reported that Barclays PLC is trading just below its short-term moving average, indicating near-term downside pressure, while remaining above its medium- and long-term moving averages, reflecting broadly constructive medium- and long-term trends. Technical signals show a bullish MACD offset by oversold oscillators and weak trend strength, with the price expected to trade sideways in the $470–$490 range unless a breakout above resistance or a drop below support occurs.

Source of Data: BARC Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

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