Renewed optimism over Iran developments helps DAX climb despite weak momentum

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DAX jumps 1.60% today to $22,998

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Igor Krasulya

25.03.2026

Renewed optimism over Iran developments helps DAX climb despite weak momentum — DAX jumps 1.60% today to $22,998

DAX Index (DAX) is trading at $22,998.72, showing a daily gain of 1.60%. The index remains positioned below its SMA-20 ($23,753.96), SMA-50 ($24,437.96), and SMA-200 ($24,125.64), underscoring sustained downside pressure across short-, medium-, and long-term trends.

DAX price prediction

24H 0.13%

24976.72

48H 0.15%

24983.54

7D 0.07%

24961.27

1M 4.5%

26066.87

3M 5.53%

26324.07

6M 8.26%

27006.09

12M 7.7%

26864.95

Detailed

Current price: € 24944.95 149.01 0.60%

Closed 06/04

Daily range 24838.43

25004.57

Weekly range 24761.96

25362.83

Highlights

DAX advances as renewed hopes for a US-brokered ceasefire in the Iran conflict bolster market sentiment.
Industrial, technology, and chemical sectors drive today's gains, with noticeable contributions from Brenntag and Siemens Energy.
Despite the session’s 1.6% gap up and high intraday volatility, technicals signal ongoing bearish momentum and likely consolidation between 22,750 and 23,250.

Ceasefire optimism and sector strength spark DAX rally

DAX is advancing amid renewed hopes for an end to the Iran conflict, following reports that the United States has presented a ceasefire plan. The positive momentum in DAX is also supported by strength in the industrial, technology, and chemical sectors. Individual companies such as Brenntag and Siemens Energy are contributing to today's gains.

Divergent price surge against weak momentum and resistance barriers

Technically, DAX faces resistance at the daily Ichimoku Kijun level of $23,635.78, which stands above the current price. Momentum indicators remain weak, with the D1 MACD negative signaling 'Sell', and the ADX indicating a lack of clear trend. Both RSI and CCI show bearish or oversold conditions, while Bull/Bear Power (BBP) is deep in oversold territory, confirming seller dominance intraday. Today's session features a notable gap up at the open, a 1.60% rise, and trading near the session high within the $22,883.27 – $23,087.72 band, indicating strong intraday volatility despite broadly bearish technical momentum. Some divergence exists, as price strength today contrasts with generally negative momentum signals.

Low upside odds amid likely consolidation and risk of further declines

Over the next five trading days, DAX is expected to consolidate within a typical volatility band of $22,750 – $23,250. The probability of a price increase is very low (less than 20%), so declines remain more likely. Baseline expectations see sideways movement in this corridor. A bullish scenario would require a break above immediate resistance at $23,635.78, targeting the SMA-20, while a drop below $22,750 would expose further downside risk.

Viktoras Karapetjanc, expert at Traders Union, sees the DAX Index benefiting from improved geopolitical sentiment after US ceasefire proposals, despite technical momentum remaining weak. He believes sector strength and news-driven optimism are balancing prevailing downside pressure and volatile price action. The analyst expects consolidation between 22,750 and 23,250, with a low probability of immediate upside. "If the news flow stays positive and sector confidence returns, DAX could surprise to the upside, but macro headwinds mean bulls must be patient for a clear breakout."

Earlier, analysts noted that the DAX Index continued to be weighed down by persistent bearish momentum and broad-based selling pressure despite intermittent rebounds. The current analysis confirms that downside risk remains dominant, and traders should closely monitor whether the index can reclaim the $23,635.78 resistance level to shift sentiment in the near term.

Source of Data: DAX Price Analysis by TU

The analysis is based on a proprietary model combining technical, on-chain, and expert data. Not investment advice. See methodology

The information is based on forecasts and does not constitute investment advice or a guarantee of future results. Market conditions may change. See our Disclaimer and Editorial Integrity for details.