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Tom Harwood commented on the IMF's decision to downgrade U.K. growth forecasts. He suggested that the downgrade is linked to the U.K. being more exposed to energy price shocks compared to other G7 countries.
However, Harwood pointed out that the Chancellor did not hold this belief during the Ukraine war, raising questions about the current explanation.
Harwood previously reported that UK energy imports could cost the country $19 billion more each year if oil prices stay elevated, based on current import volumes here. In a separate note, he shared that oil prices rose and the stock market dropped following US action in Iran here. These factors have periodically heightened concern over the UK's exposure to global energy price swings.