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Robin Brooks predicts that a peace deal is closer than ever since the start of the war.
He suggests that if an agreement is reached, oil prices could decline rapidly, possibly reaching $85 in the coming days. Brooks also notes that markets may shift back to pricing in U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts, which could lead to a weaker Dollar.
Brooks has previously warned of a global debt crisis as market confidence in fiscal solutions fades. In a separate note, he contrasted the UK's recent Pound decline with the sharper drop during the 2022 Liz Truss episode, citing less market stress in the current situation compared to past moves. His latest comments add to his ongoing assessment of major market drivers.