Brad Setser: G7 participants differ on effectiveness of Plaza deal from 87 to 90

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Brad Setser: G7 participants differ on effectiveness of Plaza deal from 87 to 90 — G7 diverges on Plaza deal’s impact

Brad Setser points out that many participants in the G7 group do not believe the Plaza deal was effective. However, he highlights that there was a very symmetric decline in the U.S. deficit and the Japanese surplus from 1987 to 1990, with changes in exchange rates impacting the nominal trade balance over time.

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Setser has previously examined China’s need for large-scale exports to balance rising domestic supply, citing concerns about trade imbalances in one analysis. In a separate note, he discussed China's reliance on net exports as a growth driver, raising questions about standard global trade expectations in another report. These observations add context to ongoing debates about the effectiveness of international trade agreements.

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